National Post (National Edition)

Poverty isn’t that hard to measure

- Chris sarlo Chris Sarlo is a professor of economics at Nipissing University and a senior fellow at the Fraser Institute.

Does Canada need a new measure of poverty? That’s what Michael Wolfson, member of the Centre for Health Law, Policy and Ethics at the University of Ottawa, recently argued. According to Wolfson, poverty (in the Canadian context) is hard to measure because it’s connected to issues such as disability, literacy, food insecurity and the like. So he recommends a “new” poverty measure for Canada, anchored to the median income.

Wolfson has a point — we should rethink the way we look at poverty. But does anchoring the measure to the median income make sense? Will that tell us something meaningful?

Any poverty line formulaica­lly connected to average or median incomes is a relative measure. Relative thresholds help tell us how many people are less well-off than most others in the society. Essentiall­y, relative lines are measures of inequality. But we already have a great many indicators of inequality. Wolfson is a leading expert on the study of inequality in Canada, so he knows that.

But relative measures do not tell us anything about the extent of hunger or the inability of people to cover their basic needs due to a lack of income. The idea of measuring poverty as an insufficie­ncy of essential needs has a long history and is often referred to as an “absolute” measure of poverty. It attempts to get at the number of people enduring serious deprivatio­n rather than inequality.

The fundamenta­l problem with relative measures of poverty is that they often give us results that border on absurd. If the NHL were to expand and add several more teams in Canada, for instance, the country would have an additional 75 to 100 hockey millionair­es. This would raise the median income and automatica­lly result in more poverty in Canada. Similarly, if a few hundred millionair­es left Canada to live somewhere else, this would automatica­lly reduce poverty in Canada — without actually changing Canadian incomes.

Does this make sense? In terms of economic policy and its effect on relative poverty, we can get equally absurd results. Slower economic growth, higher unemployme­nt and policies that discourage entreprene­urship all together would tend to reduce (relative) poverty by reducing the median income. Clearly, there’s no way to solve relative poverty unless we have a much more aggressive redistribu­tion of income. And that, of course, has its consequenc­es.

Let us acknowledg­e that any measure of poverty will involve arbitrary choices. The real world is messy and does not fit neatly into our categories or conception­s. And, it’s fair to say that an absolute measure involves quantitati­vely more arbitrary choices than a simple “half the median” formula. However, I have argued that a reasonable absolute measure is far more meaningful and informativ­e about the state of real deprivatio­n. It seems to me that relevance is the critical considerat­ion.

It’s important to note that, in 1995, a Un-sponsored summit on social developmen­t in Copenhagen issued a declaratio­n that all countries of the world develop both absolute and relative measures of poverty — and, more importantl­y, that all countries commit to end absolute poverty within a reasonable time. The Canadian government signed onto that declaratio­n. It seems, however, that we left that commitment to end absolute poverty in Denmark.

Lest we think that the problem of absolute poverty has already been solved and that all we should care about is inequality, my own estimates of basic-needs poverty should give us pause. About five to six per cent of Canadian households still endure real deprivatio­n. This is the kind of deprivatio­n where children go to bed hungry, where families are inadequate­ly housed and where people can’t afford hygiene or health-related necessitie­s. I think we need to measure that kind of insufficie­ncy. Canadians should want to know if we are making progress in reducing that kind of real poverty.

So I have a better idea. Let’s develop a measure of absolute or basic-needs poverty to stand alongside Wolfson’s new measure of relative poverty. Let’s regularly report on both and let the marketplac­e of ideas determine which is more meaningful and relevant in terms of usage.

‘RELATIVE’ MEASURES DO NOT TELL US ANYTHING ABOUT THE EXTENT OF HUNGER.

 ?? DARRYL DYCK / THE CANADIAN PRESS FILES ??
DARRYL DYCK / THE CANADIAN PRESS FILES

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