Trudeau, McKenna are ‘reality deniers’
The Trudeau government loves to call Canadians who do not believe in the science of man-made global warming, “climate deniers.”
The problem is, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Climate Change Minister Catherine McKenna and the Liberals are “reality deniers”. That is, they simply refuse to acknowledge reality.
They claim Canada will meet its Paris climate agreement commitment, made by Trudeau in December, 2015, to reduce our industrial greenhouse gas emissions to 30% below 2005 levels by 2030.
That means Trudeau, McKenna et al. are claiming that with Canada’s emissions having gone up by 33 megatonnes annually in the seven years between 2009 and 2015, they can reduce them by 205 megatonnes annually in the 15 years between 2016 and 2030.
That’s a fantasy. A 205-megatonne annual reduction means we would fall short of our target even if the government wiped out the equivalent of Canada’s entire oil and gas sector (189 megatonnes annually) by 2030.
But the reality denial of Trudeau, McKenna, et al. doesn’t end there.
Let’s imagine pigs can fly and that Canada under the Liberals will reach its 2030 Paris target in lowering our emissions.
Let’s imagine all 195 countries that signed the Paris deal will meet their 2030 targets, even though none of these targets is enforceable under the deal.
Let’s imagine the U.S. — the world’s second-largest emitter — will reach its 2030 target under the Paris agreement, even though President Donald Trump has announced the U.S. is withdrawing from it.
Even with all that, the United Nations, which crafted the Paris deal, estimates the average global temperature would rise 3C above pre-industrial levels, well beyond the 2C increase the Paris deal warns is the upper limit of acceptable warming and double its “aspirational” goal of 1.5C.
As the Guardian reported in November, 2016: “The (UN) report found that emissions by 2030 were likely to reach about 54 to 56 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent a year, a long way (from) the 42 gigatonnes a year likely to be the level at which warming exceeds 2C.”
So even if every nation on Earth reached its 2030 target, all the Paris deal does, according to climate science, is doom us to catastrophic warming.
Trudeau, McKenna et al. argue Paris is merely a foundational agreement to get every country on the same page and that its targets and timelines will become tougher (and presumably enforceable) in the future.
Which brings us to the third example of how Trudeau, McKenna et al. deny reality.
That’s because global emissions are being under-counted by signatories to the Paris agreement.
A BBC radio investigation called “Carbon Counting” airing this month concludes many countries, including major emitters like China and India, are likely under reporting emissions of some greenhouse gases by up to 100%, and “these flaws pose a bigger threat to the Paris climate agreement” than Trump’s withdrawal.
The last refuge of the Trudeau-McKenna reality deniers is that we have to do something, hence the need for carbon pricing.
But carbon pricing, while it is making life more expensive for Canadians, will not lower our emissions to anywhere near our 2030 Paris target.
To do so it would have to be set so high it would cause a massive recession.
Instead, Trudeau, McKenna et al. simply refuse to admit what carbon pricing is — a cash grab from beleaguered Canadians, masquerading as a campaign to save the planet.
That’s what makes them reality deniers.