Age old methods
We commissioned Forum Research to do our poll for the very simple reason that we do not believe in the accuracy of Internet based polls in non-urban regions. In our case, high speed internet is a novelty in a large portion of our area.
There is also the delicate question of the predictability of Internet polls where the participants are, in the end, paid one way or another to ‘participate’. While a phone poll in Quebec is random for all people who have a land line phone, for an internet poll the sample is less than 200,000 according to the data of Léger Marketing who vouch for their system.
In our region, of the three ridings with the exception of Sherbrooke, we can say that the poll is on the mark, within the margin of errors. In Sherbrooke, we will make an exception and say that Mr. Cardin’s vote is underrepresented and so is the Québec Solidaire and Option Nationale vote if only because the latter two parties attract a lot of student voters who may not have a phone and may have been out during the week-end. Still, they are not off by much from the other polls taken by Segma for La Tribune when extrapolated with the election results.
We should state that the poll doesn’t ask for an “undecided” question, it’s either you are voting or leaning to vote for a candidate. When you take into consideration the firmness of voting intention you have a clear indication of the data.
The main reason why we commissioned that exclusive poll from Dr. Bozinoff’s firm is simple: it is the only national firm that we know that releases all the data. If so inclined, you can spend hours looking at the 26 pages of questions and answer for our polls, plus you can compare them with all of the weekly polls that are published in the National Post every Wednesday. We do admit that you have to be a polls freak to appreciate this feature but, in our case, we can say that it is a guarantee of its accuracy.
All Forum Research polls are available at: forumresearch.com