Age old meth­ods

Stanstead Journal - - FORUM -

We com­mis­sioned Forum Re­search to do our poll for the very sim­ple rea­son that we do not be­lieve in the ac­cu­racy of In­ter­net based polls in non-ur­ban re­gions. In our case, high speed in­ter­net is a nov­elty in a large por­tion of our area.

There is also the del­i­cate ques­tion of the pre­dictabil­ity of In­ter­net polls where the par­tic­i­pants are, in the end, paid one way or an­other to ‘par­tic­i­pate’. While a phone poll in Quebec is ran­dom for all peo­ple who have a land line phone, for an in­ter­net poll the sam­ple is less than 200,000 ac­cord­ing to the data of Léger Mar­ket­ing who vouch for their sys­tem.

In our re­gion, of the three rid­ings with the ex­cep­tion of Sher­brooke, we can say that the poll is on the mark, within the mar­gin of er­rors. In Sher­brooke, we will make an ex­cep­tion and say that Mr. Cardin’s vote is un­der­rep­re­sented and so is the Québec Sol­idaire and Op­tion Na­tionale vote if only be­cause the lat­ter two par­ties at­tract a lot of stu­dent vot­ers who may not have a phone and may have been out dur­ing the week-end. Still, they are not off by much from the other polls taken by Segma for La Tri­bune when ex­trap­o­lated with the elec­tion re­sults.

We should state that the poll doesn’t ask for an “un­de­cided” ques­tion, it’s ei­ther you are vot­ing or lean­ing to vote for a can­di­date. When you take into con­sid­er­a­tion the firm­ness of vot­ing in­ten­tion you have a clear in­di­ca­tion of the data.

The main rea­son why we com­mis­sioned that ex­clu­sive poll from Dr. Bozi­noff’s firm is sim­ple: it is the only na­tional firm that we know that re­leases all the data. If so in­clined, you can spend hours look­ing at the 26 pages of ques­tions and an­swer for our polls, plus you can com­pare them with all of the weekly polls that are pub­lished in the Na­tional Post ev­ery Wed­nes­day. We do ad­mit that you have to be a polls freak to ap­pre­ci­ate this fea­ture but, in our case, we can say that it is a guar­an­tee of its ac­cu­racy.

All Forum Re­search polls are avail­able at: fo­rumre­

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