Wanna bet?

How long will an­them go? What colour will the Ga­torade be that gets dumped on the win­ning coach?

The Hamilton Spectator - - SPORTS - NEIL GREEN­BERG THE OPEN­ING COIN FLIP

Su­per Bowl LI be­tween the At­lanta Fal­cons and New Eng­land Pa­tri­ots kicks off on Sun­day and there are hun­dreds of prop bets for your con­sid­er­a­tion of those in Sin City. Most wa­gers are noted as a money line, with neg­a­tive num­bers rep­re­sent­ing the favourite. For ex­am­ple, a mi­nus-110 money line in­di­cates a bet­tor needs to wager $110 to win $100. If the money line is plus-110, a bet­tor would win $110 for ev­ery $100 put at risk. Some prop bets of­fer value, or avail­able in­for­ma­tion (cough, cough) can help you put the odds in your favour. But some are just to­tally ran­dom and most, like the ones be­low, are not worth your time. Odds are as of Fri­day morning. Heads (-102) Tails (-102) Wa­ger­ing on the open­ing coin flip is the sim­plest of all Su­per Bowl prop bets and also one of the most pop­u­lar. “It seems there’s the in­cli­na­tion by most to pick heads, and we cringe when that’s the re­sult of the coin toss,” Jay Korne­gay, VP of Race and Sports at West­gate Las Ve­gas Su­per­book, told A.J. Perez of USA Today. “We aren’t go­ing to favour heads and move the line. We know each and ev­ery year that more peo­ple are go­ing to bet on heads.” His­tor­i­cally, the toss has been a 50/50 propo­si­tion: since Su­per Bowl I, the coin has landed on heads 24 times and tails 26 times. The last three Su­per Bowls saw the coin land on tails and the five be­fore that came up heads, sup­port­ing the no­tion you are putting your money at risk on noth­ing more than a guess.

TEAM TO SCORE FIRST

Pa­tri­ots (-130) Fal­cons (+110) The Pa­tri­ots are the favourite and have scored first 15 times in 2016, dur­ing both the reg­u­lar sea­son and the play­offs. The Fal­cons have scored first 11 times, pro­duc­ing a touch­down on their first pos­ses­sion in eight straight games. But so much of this bet is driven by which team gets the first pos­ses­sion, bring­ing us back to the coin flip which is, at best, bet­ting on a hunch.

TEAM TO HAVE THE FIRST PENALTY

Fal­cons (-125) Pa­tri­ots (+105) Per­haps if the Oak­land Raiders, the most pe­nal­ized team in the NFL this year (9.12 per game) were play­ing in the Su­per Bowl this prop bet would make sense, but in­stead we have New Eng­land (5.56, fourth-fewest) and At­lanta (6.11, eighth-fewest), two teams that are among the most dis­ci­plined in the league this sea­son. Good luck fig­ur­ing out which will be the first to com­mit a penalty.

COLOUR OF GA­TORADE POURED ON THE WIN­NING COACH

Clear/wa­ter (+300) Lime/green (+300) Yel­low (+300) Or­ange (+300) Red (+600) Blue (+750) Pur­ple (+1200) At­lanta has never won a Su­per Bowl, so there is no his­tor­i­cal in­for­ma­tion as to what flavour of drink they pre­fer on the side­lines in the big game, but since Su­per Bowl XXXV, the first cham­pi­onship sea­son for New Eng­land in the Bill Belichick era, the Pa­tri­ots have dumped clear liq­uid (Su­per Bowl XXXIX) and blue Ga­torade (Su­per Bowl XLIX) on their coach. They kept him dry in his other two wins. The Fal­cons dumped green Ga­torade on head coach Dan Quinn dur­ing the fourth quar­ter in the NFC cham­pi­onship game against the Green Bay Pack­ers.

HOW LONG WILL IT TAKE FOR LUKE BRYAN TO SING THE U.S. NA­TIONAL AN­THEM?

Over 2 min­utes 7.5 sec­onds (-140) Un­der (Even) Sports­book.ag has the over/ un­der set for Bryan’s ver­sion of the an­them at 2 min­utes and 7.5 sec­onds. Bo­vada expects it to go a lit­tle bit longer (over/un­der set at 2 min­utes and 15 sec­onds). Ja­son Lo­gan of FOX 31 Den­ver got out his stop­watch and timed some Bryant’s live per­for­mances of the an­them. He found the coun­try singer sang the an­them in 1 min­utes and 55 sec­onds (Vir­ginia Beach con­cert in June 2016), 2 min­utes and 3 sec­onds (2012 MLB Al­lS­tar Game) and 2 min­utes and 28 sec­onds (con­cert at U.S. Bank Sta­dium in Min­nesota this sum­mer). And then there is the un­cer­tainty of when the song ac­tu­ally ends. Lady Gaga of­fi­cially sang the an­them in 2 min­utes and nine sec­onds dur­ing Su­per Bowl 50, but many thought it went 2 min­utes and 22 sec­onds long — thus go­ing over the 2 minute 20 sec­ond mark set by most odd­s­mak­ers — due to her hold­ing the last note of the song longer than ex­pected. These propo­si­tions, and oth­ers for which ac­tual sta­tis­ti­cal analysis can’t pro­vide an edge, are best avoided. You’ve been warned.

CUR­TIS COMP­TON, TNS

Luke Bryan has gone as long as two min­utes and 28 sec­onds singing the U.S. na­tional an­them.

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