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Tillsonburg News - - OPINION - — Post­media News

et’s cut to the chase on the loom­ing de­bate over prime min­is­ter Justin Trudeau’s car­bon tax, head­ing into next year’s fed­eral elec­tion.

That tax, and what­ever else Trudeau’s plan­ning on the cli­mate change file, is not go­ing to come close to low­er­ing our green­house gas emis­sions to the lev­els he agreed to when he signed the united na­tions’ paris cli­mate ac­cord in 2015.

on CTv’s Ques­tion pe­riod last sun­day with evan solomon, en­vi­ron­ment min­is­ter Cather­ine mcKenna dodged the ques­tion of whether Canada would meet its 2030 tar­get, hav­ing pre­vi­ously ex­pressed con­fi­dence it would.

prior to that, the Trudeau gov­ern­ment qui­etly aban­doned its 2020 tar­get.

The paris ac­cord’s tar­get for 2030 would mean cut­ting our an­nual in­dus­trial green­house gas emis­sions by 192 mega­tonnes an­nu­ally in 12 years, wip­ing out the equiv­a­lent of our en­tire oil and gas sec­tor.

last month, the un’s in­ter­gov­ern­men­tal panel on Cli­mate Change called for much deeper cuts to save the planet from cat­a­strophic global warm­ing,

Canada’s new tar­get would mean low­er­ing our emis­sions by 322 mega­tonnes an­nu­ally, the equiv­a­lent of shut­ting down our en­tire oil and gas sec­tor and three-quar­ters of our trans­porta­tion sec­tor in 12 years. prac­ti­cally speak­ing, that’s im­pos­si­ble. Trudeau re­cently let the cat out of the bag when he told a mon­treal talk show: “even if Canada stopped ev­ery­thing to­mor­row, and the other coun­tries didn’t have any so­lu­tions, it wouldn’t make a big dif­fer­ence.”

got that? What­ever Canada does won’t make a big dif­fer­ence be­cause we ac­count for only 1.6 per cent of global emis­sions.

and the rest of the world isn’t cut­ting global emis­sions.

While Canada re­duced its emis­sions by 1.4 per cent in 2016 — the last year for which fig­ures are avail­able — global emis­sions went up 1.4 per cent in 2017.

so Trudeau’s ask­ing Cana­di­ans to lower our emis­sions as an ex­am­ple to the world, not that it will do any prac­ti­cal good.

Con­ser­va­tive leader an­drew scheer, who hasn’t yet re­leased his cli­mate change plan, says it won’t in­clude a car­bon tax.

rest as­sured it won’t meet our paris com­mit­ments ei­ther.

so the real choice will be a lib­eral plan with a car­bon tax, or a Con­ser­va­tive plan with­out a car­bon tax, nei­ther of which will sig­nif­i­cantly re­duce emis­sions.

given that choice, we sus­pect many Cana­di­ans will opt for the lat­ter.

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