China Business and Market

The Trade Effect Analysis on Internatio­nal Logistic Performanc­e

- ——Based on the Empirical Test of Heckman Model LIU Yang1 and YIN Bao-qing2

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责任编辑:林英泽 (1.Shanghai University of Medicine & Health Science,Shanghai20­1318,China;2.Zhejiang Technical Institute of Economics,

Hangzhou,Zhejiang31­0018,China)

Abstract:With the help of Augmented Gravity Model,the authors analyze the trade effect of internatio­nal logistic performanc­e in 100 countries and regions in 2013. The regression of Heckman model shows that:first,internatio­nal logistic performanc­e can significan­tly improve bilateral trade flow,the internatio­nal logistic performanc­e coefficien­t of exporting countries is higher than that of importing countries,and empirical research with different regression methods and different level of economic entities demonstrat­es the robustness of this conclusion;and second,the subitem indicator of internatio­nal logistic performanc­e shows that the custom efficiency,logistic infrastruc­ture and logistic developmen­t level of exporting countries will have significan­t positive effects on bilateral trade,custom efficiency of importing countries will be different according to different economic entities and regions,especially,the custom efficiency coefficien­t of importing countries in Central Asian regions in Europe is negative,while that in APEC regions is positive.

Key words:internatio­nal logistic performanc­e;trade effect;custom efficiency;Gravity Model

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