G20 summit’s gift will be long-term view
backload of issues will be addressed at next month’s G20 Leaders’ Summit inHangzhou, East China’s Zhejiang province. At a time when the world economy is struggling to recover from global financial crisis, still showing a low growth trajectory and high unemployment, the G20 is striving to turn itself from immediate crisis management to a mechanism for establishing long term governance strategies for better macroeconomic coordination and cooperation to prevent future crises.
A more structured policy coordination framework has been in the works since 2014, when the Brisbane G20 summit set a target of an additional 2 percent growth by 2018 using “1,000-plus actions”. Every G20 member state prepared growth strategies with a large number of macroeconomic and structural reform commitments. The “Brisbane agenda” was further developed last year when Turkey held the G20 chair — for instance, country-specific investment strategies were adopted to address shortfalls in growth commitments.
After assuming the G20 chair this year, China laid special emphasis on reforms to boost medium- to long-term growth potential of the world economy. In this connection nine priority areas of structural reform have been identified, and the guiding principles and a set of index system for measuring the progress and results of the reforms are underway.
Since the 2008 crisis policymakers, especially those in advanced economies, have overrelied on monetary policies to stimulate economic activity, leading to macroeconomic and financial instability in developing countries. The use of fiscal policies to stimulate growth on the aggregate demand side has been constrained because of high public debt levels in many countries, especially in some advanced economies. While both monetary and fiscal policies remain critical, the structural reform agenda will address the shortcomings in the current policy frameworks that are critical for boosting long-term growth potential.
The introduction of innovation to the G20 agenda in order to boost potential growth is the most significant development, and it will certainly be a highpoint of the Hangzhou G20 summit. Making innovation one of its overarching four priorities, China also identified “innovation-driven development” and “across-the-board innovation in science and technology” as engines for growth. This framework takes into account the impact of technology on growth combined with links between sustainable development and innovation. Innovation is also central to the commitment to structural reforms.
Besides, China has set up three taskforces this year for innovation, digital economy and the NewIndustrial Revolution. The last and Third Sherpa meeting in Xiamen, East China’s Fujian province, on June 23-25 this year signaled that innovation, as part of the newgrowth agenda, would be a leading item at theHangzhou summit. And the concrete outcome of the endeavor is the G20 blueprint for innovation-driven growth, theNewIndustrial Revolution action plans as well as development of and cooperation in digital economy.
Also global investment policy cooperation and coordination, closely linked to the global diffusion of innovation agenda, emerged as a central focus of the Chinese Presidency. One outcome of discussions this year is the launching of G20 Guiding Principles for Global Investment Policymaking, which is the first framework for multilateral global investment rules.
China, as the G20 chair, has made a rather bold statement that the reach of the G20 should extend beyond its members to include the developing world, which reflects its holistic approach to development. China’s cooperation initiative in Africa to support the industrialization of the continent’s countries is a very important move. And its holistic approach is aimed at linking the industrialization process with the development of infrastructure and trade. On the other hand, China’s 2016 infrastructure agenda emphasizes connectivity enhancing infrastructure— helping develop an interconnected world economy is one of China’s overarching priorities— which is vital for providing developing regions with regional and interregional connections and facilitating trade.
Moreover, following up on the decision in Antalya, Turkey, to align theUnitedNations and G20 agendas, China urged G20 member to prepare their national plans for the implementation of the 2030 Agenda. Based on these, the G20 leaders will be presented with a collective action plan, which could to be another highpoint of theHangzhou summit.
The author is a policy analyst at the Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey (TEPAV), the leading T20 think tank under G20 Turkish presidency, and a visiting research fellow at Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University of China. ast week, the Australian government blocked State Grid Corporation of China and Cheung Kong Infrastructure Group’s bid to lease Ausgrid, a major NewSouthWales state power grid, on national security grounds. The two Chinese companies had bid $7.7 billion to lease the grid for 99 years.
Although the Chinese companies can appeal against the move in a week, they are not likely to succeed in leasing Ausgrid because the Australian federal government can use “national security” again to veto their bid, as it had done to the SGCC bid for Transgrid in the same state in November.
Australia’s Federal Treasurer ScottMorrison declined to detail the security issues involved, saying: “The issues are real. They’re matters obviously of national security interest to the Commonwealth and elaborating on those obviously would not be in the national interest either.”
Some security analysts have even alleged that a Chinese-controlled Ausgrid could be shut down because of cyberattacks, and their views have been widely reported by the Western media.
As the world’s largest electricity utility company, SGCC has been successfully managing the power grid in China as well as many other projects around the world, including those in the Australian Capital Territory, Queensland, South Australia and Victoria. And it was the most competitive bidder for Ausgrid because of its efficient management and service capacity.