Fifth successive year of decline in operating costs, says Moore Stephens
International accountant and shipping consultant Moore Stephens says total annual operating costs in the shipping industry fell by an average of 1.1% in 2016. This compares with the 2.4% average fall in costs recorded for 2015. For the second successive year, all categories of expenditure were down on those for the previous 12-month period, most notably for insurance costs and stores.
The findings are set out in OpCost 2017 (www.opcostonline.com), Moore Stephens’ unique ship operating costs benchmarking tool, which reveals that total operating costs for the tanker, bulker and container ship sectors were all down in 2016, the financial year covered by the study. On a year-on-year basis, the tanker index was down by 3 points, or 1.7%, while the bulker index also fell by 3 points, or 1.9%. The container ship index, meanwhile, was down by 1 point, or 0.6%. The corresponding figures in last year’s OpCost study showed falls of 6 points in both the bulker and container ship index, and of 4 points in the tanker index.
There was a 0.4% overall average fall in 2016 crew costs, compared to the 2015 figure, which itself was 1.2% down on 2015. By way of comparison, the 2008 report revealed a 21% increase in this category. Tankers overall experienced a fall in crew costs of 1.8% on average, compared to the 1.3% fall recorded in 2015. All categories of tankers reported a reduction in crew costs for 2016 with the exception of Aframax Tankers and Suezmax Tankers, which recorded increases of 0.8% and 0.2% respectively, compared to reductions for 2015 of 1.9% and 2.6%. The most significant reductions in tanker crew costs for 2016 were the 2.8% and 2.7% recorded by Tankers 5,000 to 10,000 dwt and by Handysize Product Tankers, respectively.
For bulkers, meanwhile, the overall average fall in crew costs in 2016 was 0.6%, compared to 1.1% recorded 12 months ago. All categories of bulkers reported a reduction in crew costs, the biggest fall being the 1.2% reduction in spending by the owners of Capesize Bulkers.
Expenditure on crew costs in the container ship sector, meanwhile, was up by 1.1% compared to the fall of 3.3% recorded for 2015. The biggest increase in this category was the 2.1% recorded for ships of between 2,000 and 6,000 teu, which in 2015 led the reductions in the container ship crew costs category with a fall in expenditure of 3.6%.
Expenditure on stores was down by 2.9% overall, compared to the fall of 4.3% in 2015. The biggest fall in such costs was the 5.1% recorded by owners of container ships of between 100 and 1,000 teu. In the same tonnage category, the fall in stores costs for owners of container ships of between 1,000 and 2,000 teu was 4.9%, the same figure as that recorded in the tanker sector for Aframax Tankers. Other significant reductions included Handysize Bulkers (4.8%) and Panamax Bulkers (4.4%).
For bulk carriers overall, stores costs fell by an average of 4.2%, compared to a fall of 7.7% in 2015, while in the tanker and container ship sectors the overall reductions in stores costs were 2.2% and 5.2% respectively, compared to the corresponding figures of 4.3% and 5.5% for 2015. The only rise in stores expenditure by any category of vessel was the 0.3% Coastal Tankers.
There was an overall fall in repairs and maintenance costs of 0.8% in 2016, compared to the 4.3% reduction recorded for 2015. The biggest fall in such costs was that recorded by Panamax Bulkers (3.2%), closely followed by Capesize Bulkers (3.1%). All vessels in the bulker category recorded reduced repairs and maintenance expenditure, but there were increases in the tanker sector, most notably the 2.4% additional outlay by Panamax Tankers compared to 2015. There were examples of small increases in repairs and maintenance expenditure in the container ship sector, while for Ro-Ros the increase amounted to 2.2%.
The overall drop in costs of 3.0% recorded for insurance compares to the 3.2% fall recorded for 2015. No vessel types in any of the tonnage and size categories included in OpCost paid more for their insurance in 2016 than in 2015.The biggest reduction in such costs was the 5.2% recorded by container ships of between 2,000 and 6,000 teu. Not far behind were Handysize Bulkers and Panamax Bulkers (4.7% and 4.6% respectively), while in the tanker category it was Aframax Tankers which led the way in terms of reduced insurance expenditure (4.6%). Ro-Ro owners, meanwhile, paid 4.0% less for their insurance in 2016 than in 2015, in which year they spent an additional 2.4% in premiums compared to the previous year.
“This is the fifth successive year-on-year reduction in overall ship operating costs, although the reduction this time is less than half the figure recorded 12 months ago for 2015,” said Richard Greiner, Moore Stephens Partner, Shipping and Transports. “The biggest cost reductions were those the Insurance category. Insurance is a
recorded by major item of expenditure for all owners and operators, without which most would not be able to operate on an international basis. The fact that such costs continue to fall may be due in part to a reduction in the incidence of major casualties. Most of the larger reductions in insurance costs tracked by OpCost, however, were recorded by bulk carriers, which are no strangers to the pages of the casualty reports. So cheaper insurance must also say much about the fierce competition for business which exists throughout marine underwriting markets worldwide.
“The next biggest cost reduction was in the Stores category, where the slower than anticipated improvement in world oil prices doubtless had a continuing beneficial knockon effect on lube oil costs in 2016.
“The reduction in Repairs and Maintenance costs in 2016 was 3.5% down on the figure for the previous year. This confirms that maintenance can only be postponed for so long by owners and operators who accept the need to invest in their ability to compete for business in a highly competitive market which is more tightly regulated than ever before. Strategic short-term lay-up is a waypoint rather than a destination.
“Over the years, the OpCost study has recorded annual average crew cost increases of more than 20%, but there was a reduction in such costs this time of less than half of one percent compared to the figure for 2015. The continuing challenging shipping markets are doubtless a significant factor.
“Although 2016 was another difficult period for shipping, the year closed on a note of rising confidence, according to the Moore Stephens Shipping Confidence Survey. Owners and charterers were more confident, than for some time previously, of making new investments, and there were improved expectations of higher freight rates in all three main tonnage categories. The expectation, too, was that oil prices and the Baltic Dry Index could only go up.
“That increased confidence, which has carried over into 2017, should logically lead to greater activity, which will mean higher operating costs. When freight rates allow owners to absorb such increased costs, the numbers start to look healthy. At present, however, owners and operators are not earning what they should be, or would like to be, from most of the markets in which they operate. Positive net sentiment is good, but it is not enough. Something has to change.
“It is also true that in shipping – as elsewhere – what goes down must come up. For example, OpCost records that, at yearend 2008, the average daily operating cost for a Capesize Bulker was US$ 7,512. In 2016, it was US$ 6,691. For a VLCC, the comparable figures are US$ 10,812 and US$ 9,950, respectively.
“Future OpCost studies are likely to reflect the start of spending – or planning for – the introduction of the likes of the Ballast Water Management Convention, the new global limit on SOx emissions from 2020 and initiatives to contain cyber-crime, which are assuming increasing i mportance in the industry.
“The results will also reflect, albeit subtly, the effect of geopolitical developments, which can seldom have been in a greater state of flux than they are today.
“Shipping can certainly find encouragement in a fifth successive annual fall in operating costs. But nothing is for ever, and nothing is more certain than that the shipping industry will continue to be characterised by uncertainty, which can be both its strength and its weakness.”