Ukraine’s choices for its future: 3 scenarii
When two populations live together, some different ways out are to be taken into account. The Russian threat is hanging over Ukraine.
1/ A federation
This scenario would reduce the President’s powers and would change the Constitution to bring the regions to a self-government as the revolt asked. But, this institutional solution doesn’t solve all the problems. For example in Belgium, it took 249 days to form a government in 2010 (194 days in 2007).
2/ 2 countries
This scenario was the choice of the population of the ex-Tchecoslovakia in 1992. But this country was created by the dissolution of the Austro-Hungarian Empire in 1918. Ukraine is an old country unlike Tchecoslovakia. And Russia used to influence Ukraine since the 17th century. So, this solution could bring Russia to annex the Eastern country as it did with Crimea now. But it hasn’t been consulted by all Ukrainiens.
3/ Ukraine as a member State of European Union
This scenario could bring into conflict UE with Russia. And EU is in favor of peaceful solutions. It is unlikely to come or in a very long time. In March 2014, Russians came in Crimea. But EU hasn’t the power to interfere today (no common army, EU isn’t a federation).