Pop­u­la­tion to keep fall­ing for 2 decades, study finds

Kathimerini English - - Front Page -

Greece’s pop­u­la­tion is ex­pected to de­cline sig­nif­i­cantly over the next two decades, ac­cord­ing to es­ti­mates made by the Lab­o­ra­tory of De­mo­graphic and So­cial Anal­y­ses at the Uni­ver­sity of Thes­saly in cen­tral Greece.

The de­part­ment has reached the con­clu­sion that the coun­try’s pop­u­la­tion is ex­pected to de­crease by be­tween 842,000 and 1.26 mil­lion peo­ple by the year 2034.

Greece ex­pe­ri­enced its first de­mo­graphic drop in decades at the end of 2016, with its pop­u­la­tion reg­is­ter­ing at 10.784 mil­lion.

To­tal­ing 10.858 mil­lion the pre­vi­ous year, Greece’s pop­u­la­tion shrank by 74,000 peo­ple within the space of 12 months.

Vironas Kotza­ma­nis, a pro­fes­sor at the Uni­ver­sity of Thes­saly, traces the root of this trend to 2010, when there be­gan a steady neg­a­tive change in the bal­ance be­tween births and death rates, and in the bal­ance be­tween peo­ple en­ter­ing and ex­it­ing the coun­try.

He told Kathimerini that, given the cur­rent trends, he ex­pects that the down­ward slide will con­tinue over the next 2 years.

“Un­for­tu­nately, at the mo­ment this is pre-or­dained,” Kotza­ma­nis said.

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