The chill between the US and Russia
The diplomatic standoff between the two countries will storm and weather down. The winning point here is the two countries are happy to conduct military operations outside h ome base.
If one were to take a conservative view on the stand-off between Russia and the United States of America, one can aver that the school of thoughts amongst the two nations varies so vastly, that a diplomatic consensus may at times get the red flag. In 1991 when the Soviet Union collapsed, Russia envisioned a certain progression of the world politics and the US a different one.
Russia is seen as a closed-door player, it is never clear, the veracity of any proclamation Russia makes. Keeping to its leftist and socialistic parliamentary process, the US is sworn to a democratically process and thus separated by these ideologies.
While most democratic and first world nations are peaceful, it cannot be said about the Middle East, Syria, Jordan, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and others. Iran and Iraq are close to a nuclear showdown. The unrest in the world taking a turn so possibly destructive, foreign policy consensus among the rich and powerful nations is a must. But with Russia so totally committed to socialism, it acts as a deterrent to world trade policies.
Two kinds of balances come into play: economic power balance and military.
Let us review the economic first. After the cold war ended toward the end of the 19th century, Russia was not involved in Europe and the US in the economic decisions. Russia felt left out of the game. Resentment arose because of this. Putin made merry of this resentment and played the nationalism card and has won many successive elections since. The same nationalism echoes in America, with the Trump government issuing statements of nationalism, it is not a textbook declaration, nothing about Trump is learned.
Why Russia and the US may face a difference of opinion, it is the people influencing the decision and policy making in both countries, who are still influenced by the Cold War, more than the existing circumstances. It appears difficult for both teams to shirk the Cold War philosophy. Hence, each side asks for more in the
Why Russia and the US may face a difference of opinion, it is the people influencing the decision and policy making in both countries, who are still influenced by the Cold War, more than the existing circumstances. It appears difficult for both teams to shirk the Cold War philosophy. Hence, each side asks for more in the world scenario trying so hard to superimpose on each other.
world scenario trying so hard to superimpose on each other.
The trade share
The trade with China is $663 billion, Canada $662 billion, Mexico $568 billion and with Japan $286 billion. With Russia, the trade amounts to only $31 billion. Which simply means trade sanctions upon Russia will yield no results. Direct economic reproach is out.
Russian investment in the United States is only 0.1 percent of all direct foreign investments, which amounts to only $4.6 billion in US-based companies. Therefore, Russia has nothing to tie up with the US in terms of trade loss. On the other side significantly still low but more than the Russian investment is the US investment in Russia, which is $9.2 billion. However little, the token damage will be more if the standoff
grows and matures into a war, but most unlikely, because developed nations are looking to grow, not depreciate their value in war. Especially Putin, who fires capitalism from the shoulders of socialism. Russia is waiting to garner more trade share in the world.
American capitalism on Russian soil
McDonald’s has opened more than a hundred outlets in Russia, and its market is growing there since 1999. It has claimed Russia to be a market growing in the fast food industry and hopes to double its chain there.
Ford finds itself invested in Russia with a local collaboration. The sales gross against it in the world is only 0.6% in Russia.
Exxon is a US company that has been in Russia for over 20 years and pumps 10% of its oil production from that country. It also has collaborative interest in a pipeline project, of conveying crude oil from Kazakhstan to the Russia Black Sea Coast. Exxon requested the US government if it could bypass the sanction and does business with Rosneft, upon which company the sanction has been imposed. The US government declined the request.
Russia owns a chunk of US government bonds. It accounts for $105 billion. This is the investment and foreign reserves for a rainy day.
Russia is also poised to hold the FIFA World Cup in 2018. Coco-Cola, Visa, and McDonald’s are the sponsors already in the list. Therefore, a standoff at this juncture is only inconvenient for Russia. According to Carl
Weinberg, of High Frequency Economics, the trade between Russia and the US is so minuscule that they can antagonize each other and not feel the pinch. Yet these two nations are looking to expand their trade share in the world forum. So, the standoff between the two countries is an issue more than anything of a game play in the political arena.
The diplomatic relationship between the two countries
The two countries maintain a diplomatic and trade relationship, but both have been influenced by military actions of both countries. During the time of Boris Yeltsin, the countries enjoyed pleasant ties that would be from 1991 to 1999. The NATO bombing of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia began on the 24th of March to the 10th of June in 1999. NATO stands for North Atlantic Treaty Organizations.
During the Kosovo War, the Kosovo Liberation Army took the help of NATO and the bombing began. This war began in late February of 1998, between the
Federal Republic of Yugoslavia and the Kosovo Liberation Army who were Kosovo Albanians.
The killing of thousands of Albanians and displacing them in larger number, NATO wanted to take military action. The United Nations Security Council
Russia owns a chunk of US government bonds. It accounts for $105 billion. This is the investment and foreign reserves for a rainy day. Russia is also poised to hold the FIFA World Cup in 2018. Coco-Cola, Visa, and McDonald’s are the sponsors already in the list. Therefore, a standoff at this juncture is only inconvenient for Russia.
opposed any military action. The US was majorly against it. But the NATO still went ahead, with Russia supporting the action. The standoff began. Ever since, the relationship has been strained.
The Ukraine crises
In 2014 the Ukraine crises began. A pro-Russian insurgency began in Ukraine. Russia began territorial incursions into Ukraine through the Donbass supporters. The Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych fell. The Ukraine army and the Donbass with the help of the Russian army without the Russian army insignia fought and annexed Crimea. Eventually, Crimea was annexed in 2015. The US saw this as a violation of human rights because not all of Crimea supported the move.
The Syrian civil war
This multi-sided Syrian Civil War has many facets to it. The main one being the Syrians were tired of Bashar Al-Assad the President. The Syrian Civil War has to one side the Salafi Jihadists movement. The Islamic State Iraqi Levant ISIL and many other groups fighting with the Syrian Government, but this multi-sided face of the civil war is the problem in itself. The US has always been against the ISIL, having kept peace in Iraq after the capturing
Saddam Hussein. Russian Military got involved in this civil war, as the Government of Syria asked for its military assistance in 2016. The air strikes by Russia were a sore point with the US. Russia eventually decided to station its army in Syria in 2017.
Russiaʼs alleged interference in the US Elections
The Office of the Director of National Intelligence and the Department of Homeland Security alleged that Putin influenced the American Elections, by influencing the people from voting for Hillary Clinton. Julian Assange, the chief editor of Wikileaks is an internet activist.
He disclosed certain emails which were supposedly sent by Hillary’s campaign manager John Podesta. This exposé became viral and greatly influenced a swing in favour of Trump. All of this or some part is claimed to have been engineered by the Russian premier Vladimir Putin.
The singular point is both countries are in competition, as world influencers. While the United States of America is a democratic country, with backing from a lot of other democratic countries like Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Italy and most of Europe, Japan, and others. Russia has backing from Afghanistan, Bolivia, Cuba, North Korea, Kyrgyzstan, Nicaragua, Sudan and Syria. While the numbers appear to be many, they are all mostly countries in political upheaval. Possibly India is unique, which has supported Russia and stayed neutral in the power game between the US and Russia.
The diplomatic standoff between the two countries will storm and weather down. The winning point here is the two countries are happy to conduct military operations outside home base. Hence the standoff is going to be diplomatically, a safe war.
Mass exodus of diplomats from both Russia and the US took place. The tensions between these two countries are age old and
it doesn't seem to end in near future.
Airstrikes by Russia in Syria: A sore point with the US.
Russia China becoming close to closer.
Ukraine crises too damaged the relation of Russia with the US.