Virus shift­ing path to­wards north­ern Haryana dis­tricts

Trend is likely to sta­bilise in about two weeks: Of­fi­cials

Hindustan Times (Chandigarh) - - Htregion - Hi­ten­der Rao

CHANDIGARH: Grad­u­ally chang­ing paths, the coro­n­avirus seems to be shift­ing its spread from the na­tional cap­i­tal re­gion (NCR) abut­ting New Delhi to the north­ern dis­tricts of Haryana.

Data for the last week showed that the num­ber of new in­fec­tions re­port­ed­fromdis­tricts­bor­der­ing the na­tional cap­i­tal seems to be sta­bil­is­ing, while the virus is spread­ing fast in the north­ern dis­tricts.

On Au­gust 23, five north­ern dis­tricts had re­ported 36% of the new cases as com­pared to 31% from the five na­tional cap­i­tal re­gion dis­tricts. Sim­i­larly on Au­gust 24, 34% new in­fec­tions were re­ported from five north­ern dis­tricts as against 31% from five na­tional cap­i­tal re­gion dis­tricts.

Seven north­ern dis­tricts had con­trib­uted 51% of the new in­fec­tions re­ported on Au­gust 22 while four na­tional cap­i­tal re­gion dis­tricts threw up 24% fresh cases.

Ad­di­tional chief sec­re­tary (ACS), health, Ra­jeev Arora, said the NCR dis­tricts have sta­bilised now and are re­port­ing much lesser num­ber of cases (about 20-30%). “The spurt in north­ern dis­tricts is un­der­stand­able keep­ing in view the free move­ment of men and ma­te­rial. How­ever, our as­sess­ment is that this spike trend will also sta­bilise in about two weeks,” he added.

As per the health depart­ment statis­tics, 7,233 new in­fec­tions were re­ported last week (Au­gust 17-23) as com­pared to 5,518 cases logged be­tween Au­gust 10 and Au­gust 16.


With the virus mov­ing north­ward, the num­ber of dis­tricts at­tain­ing crit­i­cal val­ues as per the Union health min­istry pa­ram­e­ters have started in­creas­ing. Eigh­teen dis­tricts, most of which are from north­ern part of the state, have now more than 15 ac­tive cases per lakh pop­u­la­tion, a crit­i­cal value.

Th­ese are Am­bala, Bhi­wani, Charkhi Dadri, Farid­abad, Fate­habad, Gu­ru­gram, Hisar, Kaithal, Kar­nal, Ku­ruk­shetra, Ma­hen­der­garh, Panchkula, Pa­ni­pat, Re­wari, Ro­htak, Sirsa, Sonepat and Ya­mu­nana­gar.

Sim­i­larly, 15 dis­tricts, mostly from north, now have more than 200 ac­tive cases, an­other crit­i­cal value pa­ram­e­ter. Th­ese are Am­bala, Farid­abad, Gu­ru­gram, Hisar, Kaithal, Kar­nal, Ku­ruk­shetra, Ma­hen­der­garh, Panchkula, Pa­ni­pat, Re­wari, Ro­htak, Sirsa, Sonepat and Ya­mu­nana­gar.

Am­bala, Farid­abad, Gu­ru­gram, Ma­hen­der­garh, Pa­ni­pat and Re­wari have a sam­ple pos­i­tiv­ity rate (con­fir­ma­tion rate) of above 6%, a crit­i­cal value. Only Jind has a sam­ple pos­i­tiv­ity rate of less than 2%, a de­sir­able value.

The state, how­ever, seems to be do­ing well on the case fa­tal­ity rate pa­ram­e­ters with 10 dis­tricts — Am­bala, Bhi­wani, Charkhi Dadri,fate­habad,hisar,kaithal, Ma­hen­der­garh, Pal­wal, Panchkula and Re­wari — hav­ing less than 1% fa­tal­ity rate, a de­sir­able value. The dou­bling rate cal­cu­lated over a seven-day pe­riod is more than 28 days in 12 dis­tricts, a de­sir­able value as per the health min­istry.

Only Ya­mu­nana­gar district with a dou­bling rate of less than 14 days has got tagged with the crit­i­cal value.

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