Hindustan Times (Delhi)

Central India, west coast set for intense monsoon

- Jayashree Nandi letters@hindustant­imes.com

nNEWDELHI: Northeast and eastern India, which have reported flooding this week, will continue to receive widespread and heavy rains over the next five days, the India Meteorolog­ical Department (IMD) said on Wednesday. Intense monsoon activity is now likely to begin over central India and the western coast as IMD issued an alert to authoritie­s to remain prepared for any emergencie­s.

The region covering eastern Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, sub-himalayan West Bengal, Assam, Meghalaya, and Sikkim have been receiving very heavy and extremely heavy rain since June 26. According to IMD’S weekly weather report released on Wednesday, Assam received 104%, Meghalaya 141%, Sikkim 304%, and Bihar received 99% excess rain over the past week from June 24 onwards. The rain has triggered flooding in Assam, landslides in Sikkim, and created a flood-like situation in parts of Bihar.

IMD on Wednesday issued an orange alert for heavy to very heavy rains in eastern Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Konkan, Goa, central Maharashtr­a from Friday to Sunday. Orange alert implies that authoritie­s should be prepared for any related emergencie­s.

National Weather Forecastin­g Centre head K Sathi Devi said the intensity of rain has reduced marginally over the northeast and eastern India but rain will continue for a few days. “Intense and widespread rains will start in central India including Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisga­rh, Gujarat, Maharashtr­a, and parts of the west coast like Konkan, Goa and coastal Karnataka.”

Devi said weather stations in the northeast have been recording extremely heavy rains (over 20 cm) since last week. “This was a result of orography [topography of mountains] and the moisture laden south-south westerly winds blowing over the region.”

The monsoon trough shifted to the north around June 26 with a convergenc­e of strong southerly

The country over the last month has received 15% excess rains, IMD said

Jammu & Kashmir

Himachal Pradesh

Punjab

Haryana

Gujarat

Daman & Diu

Dadar & Nagar Haveli

Telangana

Karnataka

Arabian Sea

Lakshadwee­p 60%

Rajasthan

Goa

Maharashtr­a

Kerala and south-westerly winds from Bay of Bengal over the northeast and eastern India. Now the trough is gradually moving back to its normal position.

IMD bulletin said a cyclonic circulatio­n is lying over south Gujarat and another over eastern Uttar Pradesh and its neighbourh­ood in lower and mid-tropospher­ic levels. “Under its influence, fairly widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely along the west coast, Gujarat and interior Maharashtr­a during the next 5 days,” it said. 20% to 59%

Madhya Pradesh

Ladakh

Chandigarh

Uttarakhan­d

Uttar Pradesh

Tamil Nadu -19% to 19%

Andhra Pradesh

Bihar

Puducherry

From June 1-July 1, 2020

Sikkim

Odisha -59% to -20%

Bay of Bengal

Chhattisga­rh

It added extremely heavy rain is also very likely over Konkan and Goa on Friday and Saturday and over Madhya Maharashtr­a on Saturday.

R K Jenamani, a senior IMD scientist, said there will be a high convergenc­e of strong moist westerly and south-westerly winds from the Arabian sea very likely along western coast till Sunday and over northweste­rn plains and central India from Friday. “All conditions are favourable for intense monsoon activity over the west coast and central

Assam -99% to -60%

Arunachal Pradesh

Nagaland

Manipur

Mizoram

Tripura

Meghalaya

West Bengal

Jharkhand

Andaman & Nicobar

India. Monsoon progressio­n and rains have been very good so far.”

The country over the last month has received 15% excess rains. The monsoon accounts for 70% of India’s annual rainfall and is critical to the country’s agricultur­al sector. At least 700 million people are dependent on agricultur­e in India for their livelihood. The monsoon is crucial for the yield of rice, wheat, sugarcane, and oilseeds in a country, where farming accounts for about 15% of the economy but employs over half of its population.

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