WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?
Scenario 1 SC upholds HC verdict on April 27, quashing President’s Rule, Harish Rawat government returns and seeks vote of confidence
Scenario 2 SC overturns HC verdict and upholds President’s Rule, Governor explores possibility of government formation; fate of 9 disqualified
Cong MLAs will be crucial
Scenario 3 If HC quashes disqualification of rebels, the BJP — with 27 MLAs in the 70-member House — can form government
Scenario 4 If HC upholds disqualification, Congress — also with 27 MLAs — will have a better chance to prove majority in a reduced assembly of 61 MLAs. Congress has support of 6 PDF MLAs and suspended BJP MLA
Scenario 5 If no party gets the numbers, Governor can recommend dissolution of Assembly leading to elections.