‘Delicate situation for incumbents’
ACCORDING to psephologist Yogendra Yadav the political situation was indeed delicate for the incumbents.
“I looked at a similar survey done five years ago in Madhya Pradesh. In 2013, 53 per cent said Shivraj Singh (Chouhan) should get another chance while 20 per cent said
'no'," he recalled. "That
53:20 ratio has now become 42:40. On the popularity chart five years ago, Shivraj Chouhan's score was 44 and that of all Congress leaders put together was only 21.
Today, he is 44 but
Congress leaders together are 39. The situation is very precarious," Yadav said. Yadav agreed with the findings of the PSE survey in Rajasthan but said the margins between victory and defeat could be much bigger. "Our experience shows that when people, who say this government should go in a poll prior to elections are more than those who want to retain it, the government usually goes. If anyone trumps the existing chief minister in popularity, chances are they (the incumbents) are going," Yadav remarked.