El Nino Seen Weak­en­ing

The Economic Times - - Money -

The Min­istry of Earth Sciences wants IMD to use CFS model as the main model for of­fi­cial forecast of In­dia’s sum­mer mon­soon by 2017.

Weather sci­en­tists across the globe say the El Niño con­di­tions, which led to two con­sec­u­tive droughts in In­dia, are weak­en­ing, while La Nina con­di­tions are likely to set in only af­ter the In­dian sum­mer sea­son is over.

The Aus­tralian me­te­o­ro­log­i­cal depart­ment in its forecast onMarch29­saidthede­cli­neof the 2015-16 El Niño con­tin­ues in the trop­i­cal pa­cific. “In­ter­na­tion­al­cli­mate­mod­els sug­gest El Niño will con­tinue to weaken… re­turn­ing to neu­tral lev­els by mid-2016. For win­ter (June-Au­gust in Aust r a l i a ) a n d spring (Septem­ber-Novem­ber), cli­mate mod­els sug­gest neu­tral and La Niña are equally likely. How­ever, the ac­cu­racy of fore­casts made at this time of year is lower than those at other times, and some cau­tion should be ex­er­cised,” it said. The Amer­i­can Na­tional Weather Ser­vice’s Cli­mate Pre­dic­tion Cen­tre agrees. “A strong El Niño is present and is weak­en­ing,”it­saidonMarch28.

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