Rawat Cabinet Decisions to Stay on Hold
BSP MLAs, Haridas and SK Ansari, added to the suspense by not turning up at the Congress-hosted lunch on March 22
Dehradun: BSP supremo Mayawati has emerged as a crucial factor with the potential to tilt the scales either way in the high stakes BJP-Congress political battle for Uttarakhand.
It’s relatively simple: She has two MLAs,whountilnowwereconnected with the Progressive Democratic Front which with its three independents and one member from the UKD were supporting the Harish Rawat government. To cushion himself from rebels, Rawat had given cabinet berths to these three independents.
In the changed scenario, the two BSP MLAs Haridas and Sarbat Karim Ansari have broken away and even set tongues wa g g i n g by n o t turning up at a Congress lunch on March 22. This front among the Independents has also turned into bit of a namesake amid reachout from both parties.
The BSP MLAs, including Haridas, whoisundersuspensionforanti-party activities, now say they have left it to Mayawati to take the call. “We will go by the decision of Behanji,” Haridas, told ET. Ansari was equally clear: “I am waiting for the direction of my leadership.”
Now, how does this fit in with the numbers? In a house of 71, there were 36 Congress MLAs of which nine have been disqualified but the HC is hearing their appeal. Their absence brings Congress down to 27 but their disqualification would also bring the there were 36 Congress MLAs of which nine have been disqualified but the HC is hearing their appeal disqualification, Congress would be down to 27 MLAs but the halfway mark in the Assembly would also fall to 31
The party which holds two votes as a single block will emerge as the deciding factor IF THE HC UPHOLDS IF RAWAT GETS THE
support of two BSP MLAs, he will be just one short of the halfway mark for which he can count on an independent or two
if the two BSP MLAs swing their way, then the scales evidently tilt in favour of BJP
BJP HAS 28 MLAS,
the halfway mark would come down further
the Independents’ front, has also crumbled amid reachout from both parties Assembly size down to 62, bringing the hallway mark to 31. This would be down to 30 if the Speaker is excluded. In such a scenario, if Rawat gets the support of two BSP MLAs, he is just one short of the halfway mark for which he can count on an independent or two. On the other side, BJP has 28 MLAs. If the two BSP MLAs swing their way, then the scales evidently tilt in favour of BJP. And if they abstain, the halfway mark further comes down, giving both sides lesser numbers to fill.
All populist decisions taken by Harish Rawat on April 21 are likely to be kept in abeyance following the re-imposition of President’s rule in Uttarakhand. Rawat had chaired two cabinet meetings after being restored as CM for 20 hours on April 21. “Minutes of cabinet decision could not be prepared. Without preparation of minutes, implementation stage is not possible,” a source in Uttarakhand government told the ET. Rawat had taken at least 11 decisions at the cabinet meetings on April 21 and one decision at the April 22 meeting.—
IF BSP MLAS ABSTAIN,