Ma­ha­rash­tra Civic Poll Re­sults to De­cide Fate of Fad­navis Govt

BJP’s cred­i­ble per­for­mance would be a mes­sage that the party is not fac­ing anti-in­cum­bency

The Economic Times - - Pure Politics - Kr­ishna.Ku­mar@ times­group.com

Mum­bai: How sta­ble is the Deven­dra Fad­navis gov­erne­ment in Ma­ha­rash­tra? It’s not just the BMC elec­tions but re­sults of nine other mu­nic­i­pal cor­po­ra­tions, which will be an­nounced Fe­bru­ary 23 will de­ter­mine the fate of the Fad­navis govern­ment in the state, ac­cord­ing to a num­ber of politi­cians and po­lit­i­cal an­a­lysts ET has spo­ken to.

It’s not just the Shiv Sena but even the NCP that is look­ing at the polls with keen in­ter­est for if the BJP in spite of all odds man­ages a cred­i­ble per­for­mance in the other mu­nic­i­pal cor­po­ra­tions like Thane, Nashik, Pune then it would be a mes­sage to other par­ties that the BJP is not fac­ing anti-in­cum­bency. The Fad­navis govern­ment would be in the clear.

“If the BJP man­ages to put in a good per­for­mance in other mu­nic­i­pal cor­po­ra­tions in spite of go­ing alone then it would not be wise to pull down the govern­ment and go for a mid-term poll. In that case it is bet­ter that the BJP govern­ment is in power for a while,”said a Congress leader. He, how­ever, added, “The BJP would be in real trou­ble how­ever if the party is not able to come up tri­umphs in the civic elec­tions. If the Sena with­draws sup­port and even if the NCP sup­ports the govern­ment from out­side, the sup­port would be for just around six to seven months. If it has to sur­vive on NCP sup­port then this govern­ment won’t last till 2018,”said a Congress leader.

A Sena leader said he did not want to di­vulge what the party would do but said it is not afraid of with­draw­ing sup­port be­cause of the above cal­cu­la­tions. “Stay­ing out of power for two and a half years is not what we would like. How­ever, in this case, we be­lieve that the govern­ment may at the max run for a few more months af­ter we with­draw sup­port,”said the Sena leader. Po­lit­i­cal an­a­lyst Ku­mar Ketkar be­lieves that this is the most likely out­come. “This is the most likely out­come if the BJP is not able to do well in the mu­nic­i­pal cor­po­ra­tion polls. The Sena would also keep an eye on Ut­tar Pradesh elec­tion re­sults and would pull out from the govern­ment if it knows that the BJP is not form­ing a govern­ment there,”said Ketkar. He agrees that the widely an­tic­i­pated NCP sup­port to the BJP gov- ern­ment af­ter the Sena pulls the plug will not last for long. “The NCP is not go­ing to sup­port this govern­ment for its full term. If this govern­ment is go­ing to be de­pen­dent on their sup­port then I don’t think that it would com­plete its full term,”said Ketkar.

The Sena is al­ready keep­ing its pow­der dry. Ac­cord­ing to its lead­ers, it is go­ing to raise a num­ber of peo­plere­lated is­sues re­lat­ing to Ma­ha­rash­tra and UP be­fore the govern­ment. “If these is­sues are not ad­dressed then we would have no hes­i­ta­tion in pulling out from the govern­ment,”said a Sena leader. The Sena has al­ready spo­ken about farmer loan waiver in UP. It it is go­ing to make sim­i­lar de­mands in Ma­ha­rash­tra and then pull out if the Fad­navis govern­ment is not able to ful­fill it, said sources.

FILE PHOTO

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