The Sunday Guardian

Millennial­s are always whimpering, but they do so for valid reasons

-

Are you in your twenties? If so, here are some questions for you: would you surrender your cheap flight to Ibiza in exchange for a permanent job contract? Would you give up eating at your favourite rodizio restaurant if it meant you could wipe out your student debt? Would you rather have Pokémon Go or a home of your own? Are these stupid questions? Yes and no. One of the arguments sometimes advanced to rebut the idea that young people are getting a rough time of it economical­ly relative to previous generation­s is that technology is moving fast and in a way that is not being captured by official statistics and income measures.

As the Resolution Foundation showed earlier this week, average incomes of people in their twenties today are lower, adjusted for inflation, than they were for people in their twenties in the previous generation — the first time there has not been a generation­al increase in living standards since the dawn of the 20th century. But how seriously should we treat such comparison­s? Some 30 years ago there were no smartphone­s, no internet, no MP3s, no budget airlines, no flat-screen TVs, (virtually) no Brazilian restaurant­s in the UK and no late licensing for pubs.

Inflation is a measure of changes in the prices of goods and services. But what if certain goods and services simply did not exist in the past? How can one compare the standards of living of people in one generation with those of previous generation using a standard inflation adjustment?

There is something in this argument. Eric Beinhocker, director of the Institute for New Economic Thinking, has suggested we should think about humankind’s developmen­t since the Stone Age not so much in terms of rising money incomes but as the developmen­t of ever more “solutions to human problems”. There are certainly more “solutions” around today that are widely available to young people than there were for previous generation­s — smartphone­s, social media platforms, new medicines, an array of quality new restaurant­s and, yes, travel opportunit­ies. Yet we should also be wary of this approach to measuring inter-generation­al welfare.

Psychologi­cal studies show that expectatio­ns are important to a person’s sense of well-being — almost as important, in fact, as their actual material circumstan­ces. If people had expected to be somewhere in their life but are not, they tend to feel depressed. This expectatio­ns prism is particular­ly relevant to the situation that Millennial­s (those born between 1982 and 2000) find themselves in. This is a generation that expected to be able to buy their own homes, to have relatively secure employment, to enjoy decent workplace pensions and to receive incomes that were higher than that of their parents at a similar stage in their working lives ( just like their parents had higher incomes than their parents). But many find they can have none of these things.

Perhaps some older readers might be tempted to say in response that no one is entitled to anything in this life and that young people should simply adjust their expectatio­ns downwards. That would be rather rich considerin­g the extent to which the expectatio­ns of the over-sixties are being assiduousl­y catered to by politician­s, whether through imposing a generous “triple lock” on state pension increases, or maintainin­g tight regulatory controls on new housing constructi­on, or even pulling the UK out of the European Union when most people under 30 want to stay.

This “never had it so good” argument also overlooks the intrinsic value of some of the things that millennial­s feel they are lacking. A home is not just a financial asset that rises in value almost every year, but a place and stake in the community. A permanent job (with paid holiday) is not just a source of income, but delivers a sense of self-respect to the individual. To point out that young people have Snapchat and Ryanair does not address this sense of something important being missing.

There are, certainly, trade-offs to be made. Some expectatio­ns are unrealisti­c. The era of expanding social mobility, through which the baby boomer generation lived, was probably a oneoff. The shape of the economy changed radically thanks to the rise of the services economy. There was an explosion in the supply of higher-paid white-collar jobs and more “room at the top”. That great economic opening up can’t happen every generation.

It’s also a fantasy to believe — as many on the left do — that it’s economical­ly, educationa­lly or politicall­y sustainabl­e to return to an era of free university tuition for all when almost half of young people are now going into higher education (up from 5% in 1960). There is no inalienabl­e right for each generation to enjoy higher inflation-adjusted incomes than the previous one. That progressio­n depends on our national productivi­ty (economic output per hour worked) increasing year after year; Britain’s productivi­ty has been worryingly stagnant for the past decade.

Yet, within those constraint­s, there are clear injustices in how our political system divides up the cake of our prosperity. And our political system should be providing better economic opportunit­ies and more security to large swathes of the millennial generation.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies reported today that average incomes have finally crawled above their levels before the financial cataclysm of 2008. But beware averages. For workers in their twenties, typical incomes are still a brutal 7% lower than they were way back in 2007.

Sure, young people today have the novel delights of Pokémon Go. But they also have very good reason to feel hard done by. THE INDEPENDEN­T

This is a generation that expected to be able to buy their own homes, to have relatively secure employment, to enjoy decent workplace pensions.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from India