Will Brexit happen?
TEHRAN — These days there are controversial news about Brexit talks and its fate. Some sources state that the departure of Britain from the European Union is inevitable and should be respected by the British citizens last year! However, some European sources believe that British withdrawal from Europe alone won’t happen. There seems to be a complex game about Brexit. This game will be even more complicated when we have Theresa May’s government and its equations on one side and the equation of the United Europe leaders on the other side. What is certain is that neither of the two sides of the equation can be a reliable source for British citizens, especially those who have voted for leaving the European Union.
The first round of Brexit talks has ended without achieving the expected results. The first round of negotiations between senior British and EU officials in Brussels ended up with little agreement. Following these talks, the value of Pound Sterling has dropped. David Davis, the British conservative politician and Brexit Minister has emphasized that Britain is willing to withdraw from the EU even without reaching an agreement. The fact is that now the British exit strategies of the European Union are more and more disturbed than ever before. This turmoil and collapse is resulted from lack of clear prospects for the outcome of the Brexit negotiations. On the one hand, European officials believe that in order to face the repeat of the British referendum of 2016 in other EU member states, it is necessary for London to pay high expenses to leave the EU. On the other hand, Britain, as the main trading partner of many EU countries, is trying to use their economic credibility on the path to political scrutiny.
One of the main concerns of the British authorities is the creation of a gap between the 27 EU member states over the preference and style of strikes against London.
In such a situation, commercial companies in the UK and in Europe remain confused about the Brexit negotiations. They have been captured by politicians who seem to have no intention of essentially negotiating the British withdrawal from the European Union. While the negotiators in Brussels have acknowledged their discrepancies, Theresa May, the British Prime Minister, has met with the managers and head of different companies in London. British corporations believe that the government should engage in fundamental and lasting negotiations with business owners over Brexit. Scholars have also warned that if there is no trade agreement with the European Union, or at least a temporary agreement to withdraw from the union in the next two years, widespread and destructive costs will come into the UK economy. In the 4-day talks in Brussels, the two sides tried to find common ground for cooperation, but the British and EU negotiators acknowledged their deep divisions.
Indeed, what will happen to the negotiations of the British withdrawal from the European Union? Is there any incentive in this regard, or are English and European politicians playing with European public opinion and, more importantly, with those British citizens who are opposed to staying in Europe? What is certain is that in recent months, European and English authorities have repeatedly spoken about the cost of London’s exit from the European Union. Some news sources have said that British officials, and especially the opposition voices, are designing a new referendum on this issue. However, Theresa May, the British Prime Minister, who was considered an opponent of Brexit in the past year, is trying to make things look normal. The British Prime Minister seeks to suggest that the Brexit talks are going on seriously and that London’s intention to leave the EU is also serious.
However, the stances posed by the European authorities has raised the issue with a different look. It seems that in these positions there is a backlash between the European and British authorities. For example, Guy Verhofstadt, the lead Brexit negotiator for the European parliament, declared that it’s possible for England to return to EU. This issue is right on the verge of holding talks between the two sides. Of course, the European Union presidency has emphasized that in this equation, there will be no special privilege or relief for the British! In other words, the European Leader has shown the green light to the British authorities to kick off their country’s 2016 referendum results. On the other hand, British PM David Davies has emphasized that the British’s decision to leave the EU is irreplaceable. The officials of Theresa May’s government have argued that there is no doubt about the departure of their country from the European Union. But of course they haven’t explain that what would happen if the two sides of the negotiations did not reach an agreement on the Brexit issue.