Will Syria Become the Center of International Disputes?
The Syrian crisis is heading from internal complexity towards international and regional complexity, political and diplomatic conflict regarding Syrian internal problem is about to go towards a resolution of the conflict between international powers. Russia intends to maintain Bashar Assad's power in Syria as a strategic castle for protecting his own political, military and economical interests in the Middle East. We see that while France and UK demand scrapping the arms embargo on the Syrian opposition, Russia gives Assad Regime anti-air missiles.
The aim is, obviously, centered around maintaining Assad's power and defending Assad's front, Hizbullah, Iran and Shiites in the region. Like days of Cold War, Russia wants to recreate its political and strategic position in the region against America and the West. In addition to billions of dollars profit from supplying military support. At the same time, China wants to sanction America and the West in the Mid-Asia.
Internal problems are not the important thing, how can Kurds maintain their national unity and form a state between North and West of Kurdistan, without causing provocation to Turkey and other countries. And how Alawies in the other side can live together with Sunni Arabs after Bashar, and how Sunnis in Syria manage to administrate a country, which is similar to a sea of bombs, burns the surrounding area whenever it goes off, far from radical violence, extremist Islamic beliefs and Al-Qaida.
Which country is next after Bashar Assad? Is Iran going to be main target of changes and implementing the new mid-east map and re-designing mideast? Or Gulf countries will go off and Bahrain will be divided between Sunnis and Shiites, or Saudi Arabia will be the center of conflict between Sunnis and Shiites. And what would happen to Turkey if it turned its back from reform and peace process and if it wasn't allowed to solve the Kurdish question peacefully? Or will Iraq be a part of Iranian state, and will America and the west accept that reality?
UK foreign minister showed his surprise frankly in the conference of EU Foreign Ministers to some countries that are against providing military support to the opposition, while they're facing attacks by the newest weapons. We should bear in mind that some other countries like Sweden and Austria are against the amendment of the embargo, which UK and France demand, from human rights angle, while unlimited number Syrian people are being killed daily and human rights is violated. International community's concerns start from this point if economical and political interests became under threat, then beyond international and humanitarian laws, they make decision to remove old powers of the East and replace them with new ones. It was the West that supported Iranian Sha, Saddam Hussein, Hosni Mubarak, Gaddafi, even Bin Laden and Taliban but then started to shoot fire on them. When the balance of power and interests are threatened, International laws change too.
Syria is facing changes, hundreds thousands of people have been killed, and Hizbullah and Iran support Assad Regime, and Russia defends Assad as he did for Gaddafi. The one who hasn't made any crucial decision is Obama's administration as the leader of world's changes. This is a historical and humanitarian responsibility. Does America want to free Syrian people from oppression? Or it wants to save its common interests with Russia and Iran in the region and participate in maintaining Assad's power.
Russia wants to delimit America in the Middle East, and it has been able to some extent to build a position in political and strategic decision after the collapse of Union Soviet. In the existence of Russia, the communist China is felt to have fewer roles in the region. The important question is that do super powers compromise on victims of Syrian people for breaking down their conflict and disputes, or they will decide and won't allow Bashar Assad continue his massacre to his people before eyes of the world. This kind of decision seems to be difficult when one think about the re-eruption the international cold war. What can be felt in Syria has passed the regional disputes and is about to deepen into international disputes.