Our se­cu­rity is at best when we are ra­tio­nal

The Kurdish Globe - - NEWS - Ka­ma­ran Mo­ham­mad Aziz. MA in Global Se­cu­rity, Keele Univer­sity, United King­dom Re­searcher at the Cen­tre for Po­lit­i­cal and Strate­gic Re­search at Depart­ment of Po­lit­i­cal Sci­ence, Col­lege of Law and Po­lit­i­cal Sci­ence, Sala­haddin Univer­sity.

In an age of ‘un­re­solved un­cer­tainty,’ states mis­cal­cu­late from time to time be­cause they op­er­ate with im­per­fect in­for­ma­tion in an ever com­pli­cated world. In the cur­rent cri­sis in Iraq, the KRG is play­ing a vi­tal role, and we as­sume the KRG to be in­stru­men­tally ra­tio­nal. Ra­tio­nal play­ers are those who max­i­mize their util­ity. The util­ity in this case is se­cu­rity. To do so, there are two strate­gic meth­ods which the se­cu­rity forces must mas­ter: preven­tion and pro­tec­tion.

Now and in the fu­ture, there can be no greater role or more im­por­tant obli­ga­tion for the KRG than pre­serv­ing the se­cu­rity of its cit­i­zens. The in­crease in ter­ror­ist acts and bloody sec­tar­ian con­flicts in Iraq and the re­gion all pose an ex­is­ten­tial threat to Kur­dish so­ci­ety which is ca­pa­ble of sus­tain­ing its cur­rent suc­cess­ful pol­icy and the use of emer­gency mea­sures to re­spond to these threats.

It is not log­i­cally pos­si­ble to en­ter an open war with the Sun­nis only for restor­ing sta­bil­ity. We know that we will be badly af­fected by con­di­tions of in­sta­bil­ity and in­se­cu­rity in Iraq. A higher price must be paid for the Kur­dish in­volve­ment in de­feat­ing ISIS. We hope that the ISIS will be able to dis­tract the Iraqi govern­ment for at least a year. Well, it is hard to pre­dict what the ISIS will do next. In the fu­ture, it may pose de­struc­tive se­cu­rity threats to the Kur­dis­tan Re­gion. And many coun­tries at­tempt to draw the Kurds into the con­flict, but we will never be cer­tain about the in­ten­tions of the other states. The Kurds un­der­stand this new re­al­ity. We know that the threats to our se­cu­rity are not just the prob­lems that orig­i­nate from the rest of Iraq. How­ever, the point is to make ra­tio­nal de­ci­sions about how best we can se­cure the life of our cit­i­zens.

We re­quire a strat­egy for the years ahead. It has to re­flect the con­text in which it is de­vel­oped. We need it to en­sure that the KRG is pre­pared for and can re­spond to threats like ISIS.

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