A Gov­ern­ment That Has Three Months Ahead

The Kurdish Globe - - NEWS - By Gazi Has­san

At the first evening when Abadi’s gov­ern­ment was formed in Bagh­dad, Obama and his ad­min­is­tra­tion con­veyed their pre-made con­grat­u­la­tions quickly to the new PM. With this step taken in Bagh­dad, the ground for Obama’s plan to strike and dis­man­tle ISIS be­came more suit­able, and the con­sti­tu­tional frame­work is formed for aid­ing and sup­port­ing Iraqi army and Pesh­merge in con­fronting ter­ror­ists of the Is­lamic State.

40 states are to take part in Obama’s in­ter­na­tional coali­tion to erad­i­cate ISIS. This is an im­por­tant in­ter­na­tional move for re­con­sid­er­ing the de­vel­op­ments of the Mid­dle East and the man­ner of block­ing the way in front of ter­ror­ist groups. This step re­sem­bles a lit­tle bit the mo­ments of Sec­ond Gulf war. The United States, Coun­cil of Gulf coun­tries, Egypt, Iraq, Jor­dan and Le­banon stated they will be part of the in­ter­na­tional coali­tion. The in­ter­na­tional ground is now pre­pared to strike ISIS in Iraq and Syria.

Iraq will be pro­vided with a good deal of support, but the new gov­ern­ment of Al-Abadi doesn’t seem to be formed on a firm ground of trust and con­fi­dence. The char­ac­ters that played cru­cial roles in Iraq’s se­cu­rity and eco­nomic col­lapse have been given new po­si­tions again. A per­son such as Nuri Al-Ma­liki should’ve been brought to jus­tice. This is what hap­pened in the mo­ments of form­ing the cab­i­net: dur­ing the first half hour of tak­ing oath in the Iraqi coun­cil of rep­re­sen­ta­tives, the process went on with­out pres­ence of Kur­dish rep­re­sen­ta­tives. At the same mo­ment, rep­re­sen­ta­tives of five Kur­dish par­ties, US and UN rep­re­sen­ta­tives met in Suleimaniya, and the decision for tak­ing part in the gov­ern­ment was made co­her­ently. Kurd’s con­di­tions lay in the new gov­ern­ment’s readi­ness and good­will within three months to solve Er­bil-Bagh­dad prob­lems. Some think that Al-Ma­liki was bet­ter than Al-Abadi, be­cause the lat­ter at­tempted marginal­iz­ing Kur­dis­tan even be­fore tak­ing power. This dead­line is too lit­tle for a gov­ern­ment full of crises, but a lot for the Kur­dis­tan Re­gion. Abadi has to lift the sanc­tions Al-Ma­liki im­posed on Kur­dis­tan and has to carry on fight­ing against ISIS and ter­ror­ists. So the three-month time is cru­cial but long for Kur­dis­tan, and it’s not un­likely that Al-Abadi could think of three years in­stead of months.

The for­ma­tion of the new cab­i­net doesn’t seem to have in­ten­tions to change the po­lit­i­cal men­tal­ity and style of gov­ern­ing in Bagh­dad. How­ever, the Kurds seem to have been forced to take part in the gov­ern­ment. The in­ter­na­tional coali­tion in con­fronting ISIS also needs a pre-ex­ist­ing in­ter­nal agree­ment in Iraq, even tem­po­rar­ily. In all this, no sig­nif­i­cance is given to As­sad’s gov­ern­ment, Iran and their al­lies in or­der to be part of the coali­tion. The Kur­dis­tan Re­gion, on the other hand, has been the ac­tive and ef­fec­tive force to re­pulse the ISIS. It will cer­tainly play a sig­nif­i­cant role in this new in­ter­na­tional de­vel­op­ments. So any po­lit­i­cal sta­bil­ity in th­ese cir­cum­stances could bring about a great wave of po­lit­i­cal change.

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