A Government That Has Three Months Ahead
At the first evening when Abadi’s government was formed in Baghdad, Obama and his administration conveyed their pre-made congratulations quickly to the new PM. With this step taken in Baghdad, the ground for Obama’s plan to strike and dismantle ISIS became more suitable, and the constitutional framework is formed for aiding and supporting Iraqi army and Peshmerge in confronting terrorists of the Islamic State.
40 states are to take part in Obama’s international coalition to eradicate ISIS. This is an important international move for reconsidering the developments of the Middle East and the manner of blocking the way in front of terrorist groups. This step resembles a little bit the moments of Second Gulf war. The United States, Council of Gulf countries, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan and Lebanon stated they will be part of the international coalition. The international ground is now prepared to strike ISIS in Iraq and Syria.
Iraq will be provided with a good deal of support, but the new government of Al-Abadi doesn’t seem to be formed on a firm ground of trust and confidence. The characters that played crucial roles in Iraq’s security and economic collapse have been given new positions again. A person such as Nuri Al-Maliki should’ve been brought to justice. This is what happened in the moments of forming the cabinet: during the first half hour of taking oath in the Iraqi council of representatives, the process went on without presence of Kurdish representatives. At the same moment, representatives of five Kurdish parties, US and UN representatives met in Suleimaniya, and the decision for taking part in the government was made coherently. Kurd’s conditions lay in the new government’s readiness and goodwill within three months to solve Erbil-Baghdad problems. Some think that Al-Maliki was better than Al-Abadi, because the latter attempted marginalizing Kurdistan even before taking power. This deadline is too little for a government full of crises, but a lot for the Kurdistan Region. Abadi has to lift the sanctions Al-Maliki imposed on Kurdistan and has to carry on fighting against ISIS and terrorists. So the three-month time is crucial but long for Kurdistan, and it’s not unlikely that Al-Abadi could think of three years instead of months.
The formation of the new cabinet doesn’t seem to have intentions to change the political mentality and style of governing in Baghdad. However, the Kurds seem to have been forced to take part in the government. The international coalition in confronting ISIS also needs a pre-existing internal agreement in Iraq, even temporarily. In all this, no significance is given to Assad’s government, Iran and their allies in order to be part of the coalition. The Kurdistan Region, on the other hand, has been the active and effective force to repulse the ISIS. It will certainly play a significant role in this new international developments. So any political stability in these circumstances could bring about a great wave of political change.