Is Turkey Shift­ing the Equa­tions, or…?

The Kurdish Globe - - NEWS - By Gazi Has­san

The equa­tions are about to head to­wards a brighter fu­ture. ISIS is­sue is part of the new strate­gic and po­lit­i­cal games in the Mid­dle East. Last year, Turkey avoided tak­ing part in strik­ing the IS as the in­fluenza of fear, ter­ror and be­head­ings in the re­gion. It jus­ti­fied its ac­tion through re­fer­ring to the Turk­ish hostages held by the IS in Mo­sul and its dif­fer­ent view­point with the US over West­ern Syria.

Last week, Turkey sent two planes car­ry­ing mil­i­tary aid to Bagh­dad; the Turk­ish De­fense Min­is­ter vis­ited Iraq's cap­i­tal, spent the night in Er­bil be­fore meet­ing with the of­fi­cials in the Kur­dis­tan Re­gion the fol­low­ing day. Later, he vis­ited a train­ing cen­ter for Pesh­merge in (So­ran) dis­trict, in which 30 Turk­ish mil­i­tary train­ers and ad­vis­ers give train­ing to the Kur­dish forces.

The main ques­tion is that, with the be­gin­ning of Iraqi army’s attack on Tikrit and pre­par­ing for Mo­sul, has Turkey felt the threat of Iran sur­round­ing its bor­ders to­gether with al­lied Shi­ite forces? On the other hand, Turkey has reached the level of un­der­stand­ing with the US to de­ter­mine the fate of Bashar As­sad’s regime, and agree to the train­ing of Syr­ian op­po­si­tion forces. The threat of the ris­ing dom­i­na­tion is di­rectly reach­ing its bor­ders, while the power and ex­is­tence of Iran could clearly be seen in four Arab coun­tries.

The For­eign Min­is­ter of Saudi Ara­bia stated in a press con­fer­ence with his Amer­i­can coun­ter­part that Iraq is un­der the con­trol of Iran. This is the main in­di­ca­tion of the prob­lems and the new equa­tions of the re­gion. The US wants to re­duce fears of Saudi Ara­bia and the Gulf coun­tries over the dom­i­nance of Iran, but they couldn’t hide their con­cerns.

Those are re­lated with the mat­ter of re­veal­ing the po­lit­i­cal ten­den­cies and dis­agree­ments in the re­gion. Ev­ery­one knows nei­ther the army nor the se­cu­rity forces or the Iraqi po­lice are strong and ca­pa­ble enough to carry out such a great op­er­a­tion. So what’s the point of Al-Aba- di’s in­sis­tence? It could be re­lated to the fol­low­ing points:

1. Hav­ing Iran on its side in the fight against ISIS will guar­an­tee the ground of the re­gional pol­icy which Iran is lead­ing.

2. The army and Shia mili­ti­a­men, with­out the in­ter­na­tional com­mu­nity’s ob­ser­va­tion, fin­ish what­ever they want to. This is a ques­tion asked by the Sun­nis and some re­gional coun­tries and even the UN it­self.

3. Iraq wants to tell the world that it has sovereignty and its own con­sti­tu­tion, while its bor­ders are open for the forces of a re­gional coun­try.

4.It’s not far that this po­lit­i­cal opin­ion leads Ab­badi’s gov­ern­ment to the same fate of Al-Ma­liki’s, who put him­self be­tween the equa­tion of Syria, Iran and Hizbul­lah.

5. There is fear of sec­tar­ian war that would start in an­other form and level af­ter ISIS.

So, Turkey needs re­con­sid­er­a­tion about its pol­icy to­wards ISIS. The re­gion also needs new trans­for­ma­tion. Saudi Ara­bia and The US have as­sured one an­other that: A. As­sad’s regime must go. B. Iran is the de­ci­sion maker in Iraq. This will urge Turkey to con­sider the be­gin­ning of a new phase. From this per­spec­tive, the need of Turkey with Kur­dis­tan Re­gion to launch a bi­lat­eral mil­i­tary and se­cu­rity co­op­er­a­tion will in­crease. Turkey also knows that af­ter the an­nounce­ment of Ab­dul­lah Oce­lan to end the armed strug­gle, the route to peace passes through Er­bil and the role of Pres­i­dent Barzani in this process, which is re­lated to the peace be­tween Kurds and Turks, is ac­tive and urg­ing.

So the re­gion is head­ing to­ward a new phase: the need for co­or­di­na­tion and co­op­er­a­tion of the re­gional coun­tries and the in­ter­na­tional coali­tion forces to stop (Shi­iti­za­tion) in the Mid­dle East.

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