What does vi­o­lent ge­o­graphic ex­pan­sion mean?

Kuwait Times - - FROM THE ARABIC PRESS - By Ghanim Al-Na­j­jar

Ihave been to two coun­tries that were re­cently struck by violence - Paris and So­ma­lia. No sooner had we left the So­mali cap­i­tal Mogadishu af­ter con­clud­ing a hu­man­i­tar­ian mis­sion, sui­cide bombers blew up the ho­tel we stayed in, killing and in­jur­ing many peo­ple, in­clud­ing the So­mali state min­is­ter who had es­corted us dur­ing the visit. How­ever, thanks to Al­lah that he is safe now.

As soon as we left Paris af­ter tak­ing part in the UNESCO’s gen­eral con­fer­ence, un­prece­dented ter­ror­ist at­tacks claimed the lives of over 120 in­no­cent civil­ians and the num­bers are likely to in­crease. A few days ear­lier, a Rus­sian com­mer­cial flight out­bound from Sharm Al-Sheikh in Egypt was ‘shot’ down, killing all its pas­sen­gers. At the same time, an explosion in southern Beirut killed and in­jured many peo­ple.

What do we de­duce from this ge­o­graph­i­cally di­verse violence? Were they syn­chro­nized or just co­in­cided to be so? With the ex­cep­tion of So­ma­lia, Sharm Al-Sheikh, Paris and Beirut have direct links with Syria, and less di­rectly to both Iraq and even So­ma­lia, be­cause a rad­i­cal group there has re­cently de­clared al­le­giance to IS.

Nat­u­rally enough, there are spe­cial ob­jec­tive rea­sons in each coun­try. Yet, view­ing th­ese in­ci­dents as timely sep­a­rate would not be use­ful to com­pre­hend what is go­ing to hap­pen next. They were all ap­par­ently timed with what seems to be more se­ri­ous po­lit­i­cal move­ment and ac­tion amongst Arabs and non-Arabs; neigh­bors and over­seas. They look more se­ri­ous this time be­cause all par­ties started sens­ing how blocked the hori­zon of sug­gested so­lu­tions was be­cause of po­lit­i­cal ex­haus­tion in ad­di­tion to the high use­less cost of such en­deav­ors.

If this po­lit­i­cal move­ment suc­ceeds, as I men­tioned eight months ago, the first vic­tim would be IS, and it al­ready seems that mil­i­tary oper­a­tions tend to im­pose more re­stric­tions on IS. Con­se­quently, we have to pre­dict that the more pres­sure piled on IS, the more it would tend to in­crease its ter­ror­ist po­lit­i­cal vi­o­lent acts against softer tar­gets like nor­mal civil­ian con­gre­ga­tions with the aim of spread­ing terror and making con­cerned par­ties sense IS abil­i­ties to take the bat­tle into their own coun­tries.

IS mainly nour­ishes on dis­agree­ments amongst con­cerned par­ties and once they agree, though this may seem dif­fi­cult and com­pli­cated, IS will be first to be af­fected. In or­der to sym­bol­i­cally prove this dis­agree­ment, coun­tries claim­ing to be fight­ing IS of­fi­cially use six names to de­scribe it, and I do hope the sev­enth will not pop up be­cause IS will have SEVEN LIVES then!

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