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AS the world re-es­tab­lishes it­self fol­low­ing the 2008 fi­nan­cial cri­sis and the 2010 Arab Spring, Aon re­leased its 2013 po­lit­i­cal risk map de­vel­oped jointly with Roubini Global Economics. The map mea­sures po­lit­i­cal risks, po­lit­i­cal vi­o­lence and ter­ror­ism in 163 coun­tries and ter­ri­to­ries to help com­pa­nies as­sess the risk lev­els of ex­change trans­fer, le­gal and reg­u­la­tory risk, po­lit­i­cal in­ter­fer­ence, po­lit­i­cal vi­o­lence, sov­er­eign non-pay­ment, and sup­ply chain dis­rup­tion. The Aon Po­lit­i­cal Risk Map also mea­sures bank­ing sec­tor vul­ner­a­bil­ity, risk to fis­cal stim­u­lus and risk of do­ing busi­ness. The map can be ac­cessed at 2013po­lit­i­cal­riskmap/in­dex.html For 2013, Aon’s Po­lit­i­cal Risk Map shows an in­crease in the num­ber of coun­tries with up­graded po­lit­i­cal risk rat­ings (where the over­all coun­try or ter­ri­tory risk is rated lower than the pre­vi­ous year). 13 coun­tries were up­graded in 2013 as op­posed to 3 in 2012.The 2013 map also shows only 12 coun­tries ex­pe­ri­enc­ing down­grades in com­par­i­son to 21 in 2012. The Aon Po­lit­i­cal Risk Map fol­lows a three-lay­ered ap­proach in analysing po­lit­i­cal risk in emerg­ing coun­tries (ex­clud­ing EU and OECD coun­tries). Coun­try rat­ings re­flect a com­bi­na­tion of:

anal­y­sis by Aon Risk So­lu­tions

anal­y­sis by Roubini Global Economics the opin­ions of 20+ Lloyd's syn­di­cates and cor­po­rate in­sur­ers ac­tively writ­ing po­lit­i­cal risk in­sur­ance. Ac­cord­ing to Aon Risk So­lu­tions, with po­lit­i­cal risk ris­ing up the board­room agenda, the map en­ables clients to have ac­cess to data and an­a­lyt­ics to de­ter­mine the global driv­ers of change. It also aids clients in mak­ing in­formed strate­gic and fi­nan­cial de­ci­sions in to­day’s highly reg­u­lated and de­mand­ing mar­ket­place. Ac­cord­ing to Roubini Global Economics, this year the po­lit­i­cal risk ex­po­sure across emerg­ing mar­kets re­mains volatile, how­ever the data il­lus­trates a dif­fer­en­ti­a­tion led by a coun­try’s fi­nan­cial abil­ity to bol­ster its bal­ance sheets. The anal­y­sis in­di­cates that Oman, Bahrain and UAE have all ex­pe­ri­enced up­graded po­lit­i­cal risk ex­po­sure, il­lus­trat­ing their strength in the re­gion to with­stand the im­pact of the 2010 Arab Spring.

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