WHO WILL BE THE NEXT PREMIER?
Since its formation, Parliament has had very low attendance, but the attendance of the irregular parliamentary session held on September 7 to review Cabinet resignation reached 96 percent, which shows that Mongolian politicians can cooperate with one another provided mutual interests are at stake.
Through the media, some political observers are talking about the head of the next government and how the next government will be formed and replacement Cabinet members, especially the next Prime Minister. This is the most important issue for Mongolia’s politics this month as the government will draft the 2018 state budget and resolve many other issues related to the nation’s socioeconomics within the few months left in this year.
People are looking at the date of the Mongolian People’s Party’s congress, made up of 310 key party members, as its central agenda will be the appointment of the next Prime Minister and most people believe that the congress will be held soon to announce the nomination for the next Premier.
Analysts expect that Vice Speaker of Parliament Ts.Nyamdorj, Acting Deputy Prime Minister U.Khurelsukh, former Prime Minister S.Batbold, and former Minister of Foreign Affairs N.Enkhbold or the MPP’s caucus chairman D.Khayankhyrvaa are most likely candidates to become the 30th Prime Minister of Mongolia.
Few days ago, J.Erdenebat, the 29th Premier, Ts.Nyamdorj and U.Khurelsukh were considered to be the main nominees for a new party chairman, but J.Erdenebat has been put out of the race due to his Cabinet’s collapse, which creates some opportunities for several other politicians to race for the party chairmanship.
Ts.Nyamdorj has been a Member of Parliament for 25 years in a row, which means that he has been elected seven times since 1992 and a lot of people believe that he is the most experienced parliamentarian. Many pundits have said that as having a great interest to become the next party chairman and the 30th Premier, he actively spoke out for J.Erdenebat’s resignation through the media.
Many believe that former Deputy Minister U.Khurelsukh made a lot of attempts to disband J.Erdenebat’s Cabinet and was the mastermind behind the instigators of Cabinet resignation demand because he has the greatest interest to move up the party ladder. Many believe that U.Khurelsukh is a patriot and encourage him to be a political leader thinking that he has the ability the play the leadership role in politics, but some criticize that he is a populist only out to win public favor.
As S.Batbold served as the 26th Prime Minister from 2009 to 2012, the years of Mongolia’s mining boom in which the nation’s GDP growth jumped to 17.5 percent, many say that he is the luckiest Premier. He is one of the country’s richest and most educated politicians, who has graduated from the Moscow State Institute of International Relations and the London Business School, and owns stock from a wide range of companies and properties such Altai Trading Holding and Chinggis Hotel, Skytel cellar operator and E-mart.
S.Batbold has the potential to turn results of political and business games around by taking advantage of mistakes from the battle between others as he is an experienced diplomat who served as an attache and Minister of Foreign Affairs for several years.
N.Enkhbold and D.Khayankhyrvaa are in a faction with Acting Prime Minister J.Erdenebat and M.Enkhbold, the current party chairman, and some say that they are “M.Enkhbold’s men”.
Observers believe that both politicians are most likely to run for the party chairmanship election representing the faction.
From 2000 to present day, N.Enkhbold has been a Member of Parliament representing Tuv Province, where MPP chairman M.Enkhbold was elected from three times. N.Enkhbold served a Minister of Foreign Affairs in M.Enkhbold’s Cabinet from 2006 to 2007, and M.Enkhbold also helped him become a Cabinet Secretariat from 2007 to 2008.
Some MPP members believe that as D.Khayankhyrvaa has been actively working as the party’s caucus chairman for a whole year and he was a Minister of Finance with M.Enkhbold’s support for few months, he has the opportunity to become a nominee of the next chairman.
Yesterday there have been rumors on social media that Acting Minister of Justice and Internal Affairs S.Byambatsogt will be nominated in the party chairmanship election, representing M.Enkhbold’s faction.
Pundits say that M.Enkhbold will try to maintain the position of the party chairman or support a successor who he trusts.
All in all, expect to see a fierce battle between veteran politicians of the MPP for the party’s chairmanship and for the office of the Premier.