Boeing sees 20-year demand beating targets as it inks China deal
BOEING boosted its 20-year forecast for the global aircraft market yesterday, lifted by demand from budget carriers and emerging markets, as it revealed a new multi-billion-dollar deal to sell planes in China.
Boeing said it expected overall demand for new planes over the coming 20 years to outstrip its previous forecasts by 4.1 percent, predicting total demand at a combined 39,600 jets worth US$5.9 trillion.
Boeing forecast an average 4.8pc annual growth in passenger traffic over the 20 years, with 9100 new wide body planes to come on stream during that period. It cited strong replacement demand worth an estimated $2.8 trillion in a peak period from 2021 to 2028.
“Despite recent events that have impacted the financial markets, the aviation sector will continue to see long-term growth with the commercial fleet doubling in size,” Randy Tinseth, Boeing’s vice president of marketing, said in a statement.
Boeing predicted 15,130 new plane deliveries to Asia in the next 20 years, making it the region with the largest slice of the cake.
Also yesterday, Boeing signed a draft agreement with China’s stateowned Xiamen Airlines to sell up to 30 of its 737 MAX 200 planes with a catalogue value of $3.39 billion.
The accord for the single-aisle twin engine jets, unveiled on the sidelines of the Farnborough air show, requires the approval of the Xiamen Airlines board as well as the China Southern Airline Group board and Beijing.
In a statement, Boeing said Xiamen, already a 737 MAX customer, sees the MAX 200 as a fit for its low cost subsidiaries, which include Jiangxi Airlines and Hebei Airlines.
The Chinese are likely to obtain a significant discount on the list price for the planes, as is habitual in the sector.
“We are pleased with this new milestone in our relationship with Xiamen Airlines,” Boeing chief executive Ray Conner said.
“The market-leading efficiency and reliability of the 737 MAX 200 will enable Xiamen and its subsidiaries to expand its growing network, while maintaining an optimal fleet.
Boeing said Xiamen Airlines, a state-owned subsidiary of China Southern Airline, operates an all-Boeing fleet of more than 140 airplanes including six 787 Dreamliners, 130 NextGeneration 737s and four 757s.
The carrier plans to grow its operational fleet to 200 airplanes by the end of the decade, it said. –