Clin­ton’s poll lead van­ishes

The Myanmar Times - - World -

HIL­LARY Clin­ton’s lead in the US pres­i­den­tial race against Don­ald Trump is evap­o­rat­ing with just over 50 days to go un­til elec­tion day as she stirs ever less en­thu­si­asm in her own camp.

The Demo­crat’s av­er­age lead since late Au­gust is just 1.8 points at the na­tional level, a drop of four points in two weeks, and in sev­eral key states where the Novem­ber elec­tion is likely to be de­cided, Mr Trump is ahead.

In Ohio the Man­hat­tan mogul now leads the for­mer sec­re­tary of state by 46 to 41 per­cent, and in Florida by 47 to 44pc, although this falls within the mar­gin of er­ror, ac­cord­ing to a CNN-ORC sur­vey.

Ms Clin­ton tried to pro­ject an air of calm as she jumped back on the cam­paign trail af­ter a three-day break due to pneu­mo­nia, say­ing she al­ways said the race would be close.

Mean­while, Mr Trump de­clared, “We’ve had an in­cred­i­ble month. There is a great en­thu­si­asm.”

It is not the first time the two can­di­dates have been neck and neck. It hap­pened briefly in May be­fore Mr Trump lost ground.

But with the elec­tion less than two months away, Ms Clin­ton en­joys ever less pop­u­lar­ity among Democrats. Only 38pc say they are very en­thu­si­as­tic about her can­di­dacy, down from 47pc in Au­gust, ac­cord­ing to a New York Times/CBS poll.

Mr Trump’s sup­port­ers ap­pear much more fired-up: 55pc say they are very keen to vote, against just 36pc in Ms Clin­ton’s camp.

So for the Democrats, get­ting peo­ple out on Novem­ber 8 will be the key to vic­tory.

FiveThir­tyEight, a web­site that analy­ses polls, his­tor­i­cal and eco­nomic data, says Ms Clin­ton still has a 60.1pc chance of win­ning com­pared to 39.8pc for Mr Trump.

Back on Au­gust 8, Ms Clin­ton’s chances stood much higher at 79.5pc, com­pared to 20.5pc for the Repub­li­can.

But since early last month Mr Trump has over­hauled his cam­paign team, tried to be­come more dis­ci­plined and less at­tack-ori­ented in his public ap­pear­ances, and has stopped in­sult­ing peo­ple. His new cam­paign chief, Kellyanne Con­way, ap­pears on tele­vi­sion of­ten to plug Mr Trump.

For Ms Clin­ton things have not been go­ing so well.

She has been dogged for months by the con­tro­versy over her use of a pri­vate email server while serv­ing as sec­re­tary of state and by at­tacks from her op­po­nents against the Clin­ton Foun­da­tion.

Ms Clin­ton has also taken heat for say­ing Mr Trump’s sup­port­ers be­long in a “bas­ket of de­plorables”.

An­a­lysts said Ms Clin­ton did not han­dle her bout of pneu­mo­nia well, either. The cam­paign’s de­lay of two days in telling the public she was sick boosted a wide­spread per­cep­tion that she is not trans­par­ent.

Photo: AFP

Demo­cratic pres­i­den­tial nom­i­nee Hil­lary Clin­ton ac­cepts a Phoenix Award from Rep­re­sen­ta­tive Jim Cly­burn dur­ing the Con­gres­sional Black Cau­cus Foun­da­tion’s Phoenix Awards Din­ner in Wash­ing­ton on Septem­ber 17.

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