Clinton’s poll lead vanishes
HILLARY Clinton’s lead in the US presidential race against Donald Trump is evaporating with just over 50 days to go until election day as she stirs ever less enthusiasm in her own camp.
The Democrat’s average lead since late August is just 1.8 points at the national level, a drop of four points in two weeks, and in several key states where the November election is likely to be decided, Mr Trump is ahead.
In Ohio the Manhattan mogul now leads the former secretary of state by 46 to 41 percent, and in Florida by 47 to 44pc, although this falls within the margin of error, according to a CNN-ORC survey.
Ms Clinton tried to project an air of calm as she jumped back on the campaign trail after a three-day break due to pneumonia, saying she always said the race would be close.
Meanwhile, Mr Trump declared, “We’ve had an incredible month. There is a great enthusiasm.”
It is not the first time the two candidates have been neck and neck. It happened briefly in May before Mr Trump lost ground.
But with the election less than two months away, Ms Clinton enjoys ever less popularity among Democrats. Only 38pc say they are very enthusiastic about her candidacy, down from 47pc in August, according to a New York Times/CBS poll.
Mr Trump’s supporters appear much more fired-up: 55pc say they are very keen to vote, against just 36pc in Ms Clinton’s camp.
So for the Democrats, getting people out on November 8 will be the key to victory.
FiveThirtyEight, a website that analyses polls, historical and economic data, says Ms Clinton still has a 60.1pc chance of winning compared to 39.8pc for Mr Trump.
Back on August 8, Ms Clinton’s chances stood much higher at 79.5pc, compared to 20.5pc for the Republican.
But since early last month Mr Trump has overhauled his campaign team, tried to become more disciplined and less attack-oriented in his public appearances, and has stopped insulting people. His new campaign chief, Kellyanne Conway, appears on television often to plug Mr Trump.
For Ms Clinton things have not been going so well.
She has been dogged for months by the controversy over her use of a private email server while serving as secretary of state and by attacks from her opponents against the Clinton Foundation.
Ms Clinton has also taken heat for saying Mr Trump’s supporters belong in a “basket of deplorables”.
Analysts said Ms Clinton did not handle her bout of pneumonia well, either. The campaign’s delay of two days in telling the public she was sick boosted a widespread perception that she is not transparent.
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton accepts a Phoenix Award from Representative Jim Clyburn during the Congressional Black Caucus Foundation’s Phoenix Awards Dinner in Washington on September 17.