Japan swings back to trade surplus
JAPAN swung to a bigger-thanexpected trade surplus in September, as tumbling imports offset lacklustre shipments overseas, official data showed yesterday.
The value of Japan’s exports fell again, with vehicles and steel among the worst-hit sectors, as a stronger yen clouds the country’s trade picture. But imports shrank more than 16 percent in value, with crude oil and gas down significantly due to lower commodity prices, according to the finance ministry.
That left a trade surplus of 498.3 billion yen (US$4.8 billion), bigger than the market forecast of 372.9 billion yen.
It also reversed a surprise trade deficit in August. Analysts pointed out that the volume of Japan’s exports actually grew last month.
“The strong rise in export volumes underlines that Japan’s manufacturing is showing resilience as external demand remains weak,” said Marcel Thieliant at research house Capital Economics.
But he added that Japan’s trade surplus will likely narrow in coming months.
“The price of crude oil has rebounded in recent months, and we expect Brent prices to climb to $60 by the end of next year ... The yen has weakened against the dollar and we expect it to depreciate further, which should lift import prices.”
Tokyo has been struggling to kickstart spending and lift prices in a bid to conquer the deflation that has weighed on the economy in recent years.
The economy grew just 0.2pc in April-June.
Tokyo in July announced a whopping 28 trillion yen package aimed at kickstarting growth, after Britain’s June vote to quit the European Union sent financial markets into a tailspin and sparked a yen rally. The surge in the currency has taken a bite out of profits at firms that do business overseas. –