Cabinet made in India
Small cabinet in the beginning
Newly elected Prime Minister Pushpakamal Dahal has planned to introduce a small cabinet in the beginning as both NC and MC have not been able to take decision on to whom to reward with the ministerial portfolio as there are many candidates in the race in both the parties. The parliament on Wednesday elected Dahal as the new PM. First cabinet meeting: The first cabinet meeting chaired by Dahal is likely to scrap the decision of ambassadorial candidates nominated by the Oliled government. From such an act, appointment of ambassadors in around 25 countries, including neighbouring countries India and China will be further delayed. Indian reflection: In the key ministries, New Delhi has shown its interest to assign New Delhi confidants. Therefore, it is believed that in the Home, Foreign, Finance etc. ministries, New Delhi's confidants will be rewarded. When the political leaders in the NC and MC saw such a scenario, they have started to roam around the Indian power centers in Kathmandu to get the Indian blessing to become the minister. On the whole, there is strong belief among the Nepali intellectuals that the present coalition government is formed just to topple KP Sharma Oli led government which had taken strong stance on issues related to the national interests and didn't wish to bow down in front of the Indians. Indians believed that Oli had played the role to intensify anti-Indian sentiment among the Nepali people. This is the main reason that Oli was not acceptable for New Delhi. After filing of noconfidence motion by NC and MC in the Parliament, the Indian media had projected Dahal as good friend of India and it was the victory of India. No enthusiasm: General public lacks enthusiasm with the present coalition government as they have understood that this is just a game to enjoy power. It is an open secret that Dahal is to lead the government just for nine months and NC president Sher Bahadur Deuba is to lead the next nine months. Therefore, the present alliance is just to loot the government coffer, rather than giving political stability to the nation. There is the strong feeling among the people that this is just an Indiapuppet government and it will serve the Indian interests only. From such power game, general public have become fade-up. Sidelining UML: New Delhi had wished to punish Oli by sidelining UML from the government. This plan has become successful but is it possible to complete the constitution implementation process without support from the UML, it is a burning question. Particularly Oli is not egger to support PM Dahal, who has betrayed him. Oli plans to convince NC to develop a new coalition between the NC and UML. Oli is frequently in contact with NC leader Ramchandra Poudel.
Oli has even given words to NC that with the support of UML, NC alone can run a minority government. On the above background, even if New Delhi has become successful in toppling Oli, nevertheless, Nepal is not going to experience political stability, which is also the Indian design. By creating political instability, New Delhi plans to enhance its micro-management strength in Nepal. Dejected Dahal: Since the day of the filing of the no-confidence motion, Dahal does not seem to be happy. Even in public functions, he is unable to hide his dejected appearance. When outgoing PM Oli was facing the House, his appearance and performance didn't exhibit any sadness on failure of his government, on the other hand, Dahal, who was sitting on the front row of the Parliament, was unable to demonstrate any enthusiasm or joy over his victory. In fact, Dahal is very badly exposed by the Indian media that after Dahal's innings India will have excellent relations with Nepal. This is a big burden for PM Dahal. How will Dahal balance the relations with the two neighbours -- India and China -- it has to be seen in the days to come. At a meeting with the Chinese Ambassador, Dahal had assured to the envoy that he will implement all the agreements endorsed by the Oli led government but will he be able to cross all the hurdles created through micro-management by the Indians? The main thing is that if the Oli led government would have continued, Chinese President Xi Jinping was likely to visit Kathmandu in the near future and the Chinese Embassy here had already started preparation for the visit. According to Narayanman Bijukche, chairman, Nepal Majdoor Kishan Party, during the visit of Chinese supreme leader, an agreement on construction of the railway line from Rasuwa to Lumbini via Kathmandu and Pokhara was going to be endorsed. If the visit of the Chinese supreme leader is cancelled, the agreement process will be delayed. Therefore, the entire Indian plan was to disturb the possible visit of the Chinese supreme leader to Nepal, say political observers. Indeed, to host the Chinese supreme leader is a great opportunity for PM Dahal , yet, will Dahal be able to manage the visit, it is still a question. Within the party also, the hardliner group is not happy with the present partnership with the NC. It is a great challenge for Dahal to manage his own house. Sooner or later, the party should go to the elections. Presently, Dahal has lost popular image as he is being projected as an Indianpuppet, to which direction Dahal is pushing his party CPN Maoist Center, the election results will show. Indian strategy: Clearly, PM Dahal had calculated that he should win the Indian confidence to secure his political future. Hence, Dahal tried to bag Indian confidence. If India sees that Dahal is a losing candidate, India will not support Dahal. Furthermore, the present ruling party in India is deadly against the extremist communists. The Indian establishment has the evidences that the Maoists were used by the Western countries as well as Christian missionaries to declare Nepal a secular state by replacing the Hindu identity. The Indian establishment is seriously concerned with massive level of conversion of religion that is taking place in Nepal. For the time being, as there was no other option to topple Oli, Dahal has been used by the Indians but it won't be for a long term. The other challenge for Dahal is the Madheshi demands. If fulfilled the demands of the Madheshi parties in agitation, i.e. re-demarcation of the boundaries of the provinces, there is strong possibility of bloody clash among the people. Although defeated the game for the time being, Oli has been able to write his name in the golden history of the nation. But what about Dahal ?