Collapse of Oli government: Five stage plan of RAW
As far as India is concerned, Oli's resignation was a win over Nepal. India observes that the event was a stinging indictment for Oli's domestic and foreign policies and a blow to China and once again, the source of power is considered to be Delhi. India considers Oli as an ultranationalist who was overtly courting China in an attempt to build an anti-India nation. India is also happy that there is no real agreement on either energy supplies from China or transit through Tianjin. In the course of Skkimization RAW had used Lendup Dorji at the third stage which is at par with the use of Prachanda and Baburam. . At the initial stage, RAW used the banned parties, the civil societies working for money and the so-called intellectuals, for the cause of bringing down the Panchayat system that had strengthened Nepali nationalism. By using them RAW destroyed the Panchayat democracy at the grassroots, along with the Panchayati goals such as Nepal meeting the Asian standard by 2000, Zone of Peace proposal, hydropower projects, transportation system and industries of basic need . At the second stage, RAW used Nepali Congress (NC). During this stage Ganeshman Singh and Krishna Prsad Bhattarai were brought down and, , Girija Prasad Koirala was empowered as if Koirala was NC and NC was Koirala. If a foolish person becomes ambitious, he will spoil the nation. By using Koirala the Panchayat system was destroyed and the power of the king was limited. Furthermore, RAW tried to make the king a puppet just like the Bhutani monarch, but was not successful. At the third stage, RAW planned to declare Nepal a republic. It supported the Maoists rebels by providing military commando training at a training center near Dehradun. Later, the 12point New Delhi pact was endorsed between Girija Prasad Koirala led seven parties and the India declared terrorist force, Maoist, which is popularly known as SPAM. SPAM was empowered with all kind of logistic supports and was asked to revolt against the kingship, followed by a 19day-long so called “peaceful” but violent agitation. After accomplishing the April uprising in 2006, RAW developed an alliance with the missionaries. Samuel Tamrat was asked to lead on behalf of the western Christian countries to declare Nepal a secular country. Later, when the Maoist supremo Pushpakamal Dahal became the Prime Minister, RAW asked him to control RNA and merge it into the Maoist's guerrilla force with the aim of defusing the then strong security organ RNA and capturing natural resources of Nepal. Meanwhile, New Delhi was suspicious regarding Dahal's loyalty. One section thought that Dahal by cashing the party's name “Maoist” may jump to Beijing and betray India! Whereas, another section in New Delhi was planning to empower the Maoist party having two-thirds majority in the parliament and ask Dahal to pass a resolution just like in Sikkimby using Lendup Dorje. To empower the Maoist with a two-third majority, RAW developed an idea of introducing the modality of inclusive and proportional election. During the election campaign, the Maoist cadres, as advised, asked the voters either to cast the vote of the entire family members to the Maoist candidate or give donation worth Rs six thousand. As a result, Maoist got unexpected majority in the parliament. The Nepal Army had estimated that the Maoist had 4000 hardcore, 15000 militia and 150000 supporters and therefore the Maoist could never receive such votes without threatening and booth capturing. Today, if the Truth and Reconciliation Commission will act as per the international norms, the Maoist leader cannot escap from being punished as per the violation of human rights regulations. In an attempt to escape from the Court accusations, the Maoists have developed an unnatural coalition with the NC to topple the Oli government. Oli, who was also considered as an Indian confidant, changed his stance and demonstrated his nationalistic image like Marichman Singh. Oli made remarkable achievements while dealing with China. Oli has been able to give a new height to his popularity among the Nepali commoners. Pro-Indian columnist C.K. Lal believes that the South Block judges that the king, NC, CPN-UML and Moist are the main powers in Nepal. all these forces can be controlled through “hope and threat” strategy . While arranging these strategies South Block delayed to announce ceasefire while the Maoist was in a hurry for its announcement.
This fourth strategy is the test plan which is for taking a bold decision for the fifth strategic plan just like the 12-point pact and anti-king demonstration.
India always wants its hegemony over Nepal. Nepal considers both China and India to be good neighbours, which India does not accept.