Left al­liance to con­tinue till elec­tions and likely to win ma­jor­ity seats in fed­eral par­lia­ment

People's Review - - FRONT PAGE - By Our Re­porter

The sur­prise al­liance be­tween the CPN-UML and the CPN-Maoist Cen­tre is likely to win com­fort­able ma­jor­ity in the House of Rep­re­sen­ta­tives and in many of the pro­vin­cial as­sem­blies con­sid­er­ing the votes they gar­nered in the re­cently held lo­cal polls. How­ever, non­co­op­er­a­tion be­tween the cadres of the ri­val par­ties and the al­liance be­tween the NC and Mad­hes-based par­ties can pre­vent them from win­ning 138 seats of the House of Rep­re­sen­ta­tives if the NC and Mad­hes-based par­ties forged a func­tion­ing al­liance be­cause the NC and Mad­hes-based par­ties can sweep elec­tions in 16 of the 20 Tarai dis­tricts. How­ever, in hills and Kath­mandu the left al­liance will emerge vic­to­ri­ous. But many peo­ple sus­pect whether the al­liance is a clever tac­tics of Pushpa Ka­mal Da­hal to re­main in na­tional pol­i­tics and di­min­ish the size of the UML. Had the Maoist Cen­tre not forged al­liance with the UML, many of its lead­ers in­clud­ing, Da­hal will be un­able to make to the House of Rep­re­sen­ta­tives. It was re­ported that the Maoist Cen­ter was likely to win only 11 of the 165 seats of the House of the Rep­re­sen­ta­tives un­der the First-Past-The-Post elec­toral sys­tem. While UML feared that the NC might keep them away from power by forg­ing al­liance with the Maoist-Cen­tre. This fear brought the two ri­val com­mu­nist par­ties closer re­sult­ing in the al­liance. Had the two par­ties con­tested elec­tion with sin­gle sym­bol, they will win a two-thirds seats. But when they are con­test­ing polls with sep­a­rate sym­bols, NC is likely to ben­e­fit from the PR sys­tem as NC is likely to emerge as the sin­gle largest party in the PR sys­tem. How­ever, the party is al­most sure to face de­feat due to the left al­liance. Per­haps, the party that has re­mained in power for the long­est time since 1990 will be out of power af­ter the forth­com­ing elec­tions.

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