Po­lit­i­cal up­heavals may grip Nepal; PM Oli may land in trou­ble soon

People's Review - - COMMENTARY - N.P. UPADHYAYA (Tele­graph Nepal ed­i­tor@ tele­graph­nepal.com)

In­dian Aca­demi­cian Brahma Chel­lany re­cently sug­gested his own gov­ern­ment in Delhi that “In­dia would do well if she asks for an apol­ogy from Nepal for all of its past blun­ders that New Delhi com­mit­ted on the tiny Hi­malayan “sov­er­eign” na­tion” in the past. Per­haps he was talk­ing of the fright­en­ing days and years of the 2005-6 which saw the In­dian es­tab­lish­ment bull­doz­ing Nepali politics in such a way that the Changes de­sired by In­dian power struc­ture got in­sti­tu­tion­al­ized through the kind cour­tesy of the most in­fa­mous twelve point agree­ment that dam­aged Nepal be­yond re­pair. It is per­haps a de­layed re­al­iza­tion if the writer is sin­cere to what he has said. How­ever, In­dia un­der MODI is yet to apol­o­gize. It re­mains yet a due as of now. No sur­prise that the In­dian moves then were as­sisted beam­ingly by our own ag­i­tat­ing seven po­lit­i­cal par­ties' con­trolled by none other than Gir­ija Prasad Koirala whose In­dia tilt by then re­mained no longer a se­cret. (Peace be upon himRIP). Par­tial fault lay def­i­nitely with our own “In­dia” trusted, tested and in­doc­tri­nated lead­ers. All that In­dia did was to ex­ploit the weak­nesses of our po­lit­i­cal an­i­mals. In­dia con­tin­ues to ex­ploit from this weak­ness even as of to­day. Ask those who are will­ingly ex­ploited. But at what cost? Is it free? Per­haps money mat­ters. Mr. Koirala and his col­leagues felt some­what hon­ored in hav­ing found an op­por­tu­nity to dance to the In­dian tune then. How­ever, the lead­ers may have ex­ploited the fruits of the In­dia- award­ed­change there­after, how­ever, the peo­ple who sup­ported the Indo-pen­dent lead­ers dur­ing the po­lit­i­cal tur­moil per­haps are now re­pent­ing as to why they could not guess in ad­vance that they had been as­sist­ing the In­dia de­sired change through the kind cour­tesy of their own lead­ers? Many an in­no­cent souls lost their pre­cious lives in the process and the monar­chy left for the nearby Kath­mandu jun­gles once and for all. It is here where the com­mon peo­ple got flat and the na­tional pop­u­la­tion found that the en­tire game plan had been en­gi­neered by the In­dian regime un­der dummy In­dian PM Dr. MM Singh, now serv­ing Mrs. So­nia Gandhi, the mother of the In­dian prince Rahul. Yet some per­verted brains in Nepal think still that the last change will bring twin­kling stars from the heaven one fine even­ing for them though the prom­ise was for the moon. The lyri­cists, the mu­sic com­posers and the mu­si­cal in­stru­ments all were made in In­dia that made our he­roes and builders to dance to the In­dian tune com­posed es­pe­cially by So­nia Gandhi and Vedanti Dr. Karan Singh. Af­ter the much pub­li­cized change of the 2005-6, the best gift from In­dia to Nepal was that the revo­lu­tion­ar­ies then re­sid­ing in New Delhi were sent to Kath­mandu in or­der to rule the na­tion in close col­lab­o­ra­tion with the Koirala clique. Chel­lany ad­mits this fact. There­after what ever hap­pened in Nepal was no less than a hor­ror story and the ter­ri­fy­ing drama that had been staged by the In­dian es­tab­lish­ment, Shyam Saran and the dummy In­dian PM Dr. MM Singh played the lead role, to­gether with the vis­i­ble helps ex­tended to the gov­ern­ment across the bor­ders by our own dis­il­lu­sioned pop­u­la­tion fi­nally frac­tured this an­cient sov­er­eign na­tion for good whose re­cov­ery, as far as could be guessed, is not pos­si­ble in our life time in this ma­te­rial world. Later Sita Ram Yechury came into the po­lit­i­cal scene in Nepal and was greeted by the lo­cal pop­u­la­tion as if he was the first Nepal Pres­i­dent in the mak­ing. His tacit links with the Maoists of Nepal in many more than one forces one to con­clude that the In­dian Maoists who have be­come a se­cu­rity threat to the en­tire In­dian es­tab­lish­ment must have been en­cour­aged by Mr. Yechury and thus the Delhi gov­ern­ment is ad­vised to in­ter­ro­gate this com­mu­nist leader whose po­lit­i­cal cre­den­tials ap­pears sus­pect. Yechury and Shyam Saran, we pre­sume, are still in con­tact with the In­dian Maoists lead­ers whom the In­dian gov­ern­ment is search­ing fa­nat­i­cally. The na­tion-state was not only de­formed by the New Delhi en­gi­neered last po­lit­i­cal change but had also to brave all the pos­si­ble calami­ties, some nat­u­ral and the rest In­dia man­u­fac­tured ones, which ten­ta­tively broke the ver­te­bral col­umns of the na­tion-state. As if this were not enough, Mother Na­ture too was un­kind to­wards Nepal when an eight point Earth quake on the Richter scale hit Nepal and jolted the na­tion from within. And Chai­wala PM Modi, as Mal­likar­jun from Ma­ha­ras­tra claims, found it op­por­tune to im­pose eco­nomic block­ade on Nepal for hav­ing brushed aside the In­dian or­ders to halt the pro­mul­ga­tion of the new con­sti­tu­tion. The Nepal Gov­ern­ment went ahead with the an­nounce­ment of the con­sti­tu­tion and the In­dian wrath was there for all along sox months. (This scribe felt the pain of the overly stretched block­ade him­self). This was the fourth block­ade in se­ries af­ter the birth of In­dia, 1947. Chel­lany must have hit hard his own gov­ern­ment with some hid­den pur­pose which must have been the brain of those who usu­ally make him to write on those some­what em­bar­rass­ing lines pol­ished with diplo­macy. Look how the events have un­folded since his ar­ti­cle got pub­lished. Two dif­fer­ent events of high im­port have hap­pened in Delhi and Kath­mandu con­cur­rently which may have some in­ner links with each other to which we now feel our bounden duty to in­form our valued read­ers both within and with­out. Though it re­mains yet to be sub­stan­ti­ated, how­ever, things have be­gun mov­ing in the di­rec­tion as we in­tend to hint. Im­me­di­ately af­ter Chel­lany wrote an apol­ogy ar­ti­cle, al­most around the same time in New Delhi it­self the In­dian Foreign Min­is­ter was in­struct­ing the In­dian Am­bas­sadors posted in the neigh­bor­hood to “ed­u­cate” the lead­ers of the host coun­tries of their post­ing about the “neg­a­tive consequences” of hav­ing ex­ces­sive links with China. To talk all the non­sense against China is what was her mis­sion. In fact Sushma Swaraj was telling her min­istry-sub­or­di­nates that the In­dian en­voys should brain wash the lead­ers of the host coun­tries in such a way that they (the stu­dents) be­gin feel­ing that ask­ing for Chi­nese as­sis­tance was al­most a crime in that such as­sis­tances orig­i­nat­ing from China was the short­est route to the “debt trap or for that mat­ter fi­nan­cial break­down” from which an easy es­cape was al­most re­mote if not im­pos­si­ble. The idea is to use the ed­u­ca­tion part as a psy­cho­log­i­cal ter­ror. The In­dian Am­bas­sadors who lis­tened to the ser­mons of Sushma Swaraj must have be­gun teach­ing lessons upon re­turn against China to the lead­ers of the coun­tries wherein they have been posted. The en­voys must have by now re­turned to their work­ing sta­tions safe and sound. Almighty bless them. This means that the much pub­li­cized Wuhan Sum­mit that was held to re­set In­dia-China ties has mis­er­ably failed and that China still

is In­dia's num­ber one en­emy as Ge­orge Fer­nan­dez, the for­mer In­dian de­fense min­is­ter, had told openly some decades back. The sec­ond event that is of equal im­port very un­for­tu­nately has hap­pened in Kath­mandu. The re­cent reshuf­fle of me­dia men in one me­dia house to some ex­tent is talked to have some link­ages with Chel­lany's much pub­li­cized ar­ti­cle and the In­dian FM's dic­ta­tions pro­vided to her own diplo­mats in Delhi on how to ma­lign China. Apol­ogy in or­der to re­gain Nepali peo­ple's sym­pa­thy and the diplo­matic meet in Delhi meant to ed­u­cate against China through the lo­cal me­dia that fits into the pocket. Not sure but yet the ru­mor in Kath­mandu has been that two prom­i­nent me­dia men ac­com­pa­nied Nepal PM Oli's visit to China and both of them re­ported ac­cu­rately as to what they have had wit­nessed. Their re­port­ing con­tained some un­de­ni­able facts about China to which even the ed­i­tors ac­com­pa­ny­ing Oli to China could not sup­press. Things that must not have been printed for Nepal's pub­lic con­sump­tion got pub­lished in Kath­mandu which per­haps ir­ri­tated the gov­ern­ment across the bor­ders and thus the de­ci­sion was per­haps taken to sack those two se­nior me­dia men from the or­ga­ni­za­tion that is ten­ta­tively taken as sub­servient to In­dian po­lit­i­cal machin­ery. Just guess works only based on the cir­cu­lat­ing ru­mors in Kath­mandu po­lit­i­cal and so­cial cir­cuits. The me­dia men who had ac­com­pa­nied PM Oli to China and wrote China fa­vor­ing ar­ti­cle (in fact they wrote the facts to which they them­selves re­mained the first hand wit­ness) right by be­ing in Beijing was suf­fi­cient enough for those China haters in Nepal and Delhi to sack these two se­nior ed­i­tors. Our sym­pa­thy goes to the sacked ones. We mean it. Fi­nally the two were de­clared mar­tyrs. The va­cant po­si­tion has al­ready been re­placed by yet another de­clared Indo-pen­dent me­dia man whose tacit links with for­mer In­dian foreign Sec­re­tary Shyam Saran re­mains no longer a se­cret now. Be­lieve it or not but yet again a widely cir­cu­lated ru­mor of the high­est or­der. in­ter­viewed Prachanda, high placed sources say, who was then re­sid­ing in New Delhi en­joy­ing In­dian gov­ern­ment's bless­ings. This in­ter­view later paved the way for Shyam Saran to pounce upon Nepal the way he de­sired. Rest is history. Those who have been closely watch­ing the In­dian policy on Nepal, more so taken af­ter the last po­lit­i­cal change, if it could be taken as such, pre­fer to weave all these threads to­gether which bring us all to a point from where these con­clu­sions can be drawn. First, In­dia is not happy with PM Oli's China visit; Oli is a China tilted man. Sec­ond, China's as­sur­ances made to PM Oli dur­ing the visit may en­able Nepal to de­pend less on In­dia which the lat­ter can't di­gest po­lit­i­cally. Delhi prefers Kath­mandu to heav­ily rely on In­dia as usual so that time per­mit­ting arms could be twisted. Thirdly, In­creas­ing Nepal-China ties bodes ill for the greater ad­van­tages of In­dia in Nepal. Fourthly, In­dia wants that the Nepali pop­u­lace to be pumped with the news that China is not a good friend of Nepal and that the pop­u­la­tion should thus im­press upon their own gov­ern­ment to re­frain from mak­ing ef­forts aimed at bring­ing Nepal-China ties closer. Fifthly, the Chi­nese an­nounce­ment that soon Chi­nese rail shall ap­proach Kath­mandu has al­most re­tarded the In­dian brains hop­ing that how to cope with the Chuk Chuk mu­si­cal sound of the Chi­nese train if that be­comes a re­al­ity? Sixthly, so in or­der to brain wash the Nepali pop­u­la­tion, a strong me­dia in Nepal was what was needed most and that too con­trolled by such an ed­i­tor who could be tamed as and when felt ur­gent. Re­mote de­vice is pre­ferred. What is more than sur­pris­ing is that such events have hap­pened in and around and even prior to Oli's visit to China. Af­ter the visit al­beit, things took a dif­fer­ent mo­men­tum in ef­fect. Thus, sum­ming up what could be said that Sushama's call for ed­u­cat­ing the neigh­bors, Chel­lany's apol­ogy re­lated ar­ti­cle and the sud­den up­heavals seen in the Nepali me­dia sec­tor all put to­gether make sense which speaks so many things un­spo­ken. should now aban­don the idea of com­pet­ing with China. Okay for the mo­ment if In­dia con­soles that Nepal has been brain­washed then what of Pak­istan, Sri Lanka and the Mal­dives? China is a super power now, In­dia has to ad­mit. In­stead of ed­u­cat­ing the neigh­bors against China, In­dia should con­cen­trate on winning the hearts of the tor­tured smaller friends in the neigh­bor­hood and earn re­spect from them which may in the long run al­low In­dia to think of com­pet­ing China or else sim­ply by pick­ing up its pre­ferred ed­i­tors here and there would boomerang ul­ti­mately. Me­dia changes al­le­giances on a reg­u­lar ba­sis. Money mat­ters per­haps for me­dia both in Nepal and In­dia also. The Changed me­dia man has re­port­edly be­gun pen­ning ar­ti­cles aimed first at desta­bi­liz­ing Nepal and its PM by align­ing with the anti-Oli and China lobby then per­haps the ul­ti­mate de­sign is to ruin the na­tion un­der in­struc­tions from above as it had hap­pened in the long dis­tant past. The changed me­dia man is taken as a thor­ough gen­tle­man tough in spite of the op­po­site ru­mors. In­dia is also ad­vised to man­age some drink­ing wa­ters for its thirsty pop­u­la­tion along the Bhikhana Thori area that bor­ders Nepal. The peo­ple from in­side the vil­lage ad­join­ing Nepal border cross into Nepal and fill their jerkins from the river that flows in Nepal and re­turn to their vil­lages which has af­fected the chil­dren go­ing to school. The chil­dren in­stead of go­ing to school are be­ing sent to Nepali rivers to fetch wa­ter by their par­ents. (Cour­tesy In­dian TV Chan­nel). In­dia would do well if lis­tens to what AG Noorani says of his own coun­try, (sic), there can be no real peace in South Asia with­out a set­tle­ment of the Kash­mir dis­pute. Mr. Noorani who is a renowned In­dian writer made this com­ment while talk­ing to the Front­line. “In­tol­er­ance is the hallmark of the Saf­fron party. From the top of the bot­tom, from the front­line lead­ers to think-tank's, from the min­is­ters to the spokesper­sons, all are over loaded with venom and spit it at their will. (Mee­la­mani@twit­ter). Per­haps this mes­sage which has orig­i­nated from In­dia it­self speaks so many things un­spo­ken. By the by an In­dian na­tional keep­ing in mind to what has been said re­cently by Shashi Tha­roor. Tha­roor is a con­gress­man and has re­cently said that Modi wants to make yet another Hindu Pak­istan. In sum, In­dia hates ev­ery­thing around it if the ob­jects do not suit to its taste. Nepal has be­come the fresh tar­get. If a regime change suits to In­dia in or­der to check the heavy en­gage­ment of China in Nepal then that would be the best ed­u­ca­tion taught to the Nepali rulers-the pre­sumed stu­dents of the In­dian es­tab­lish­ment that they were and are still. Per­haps Chel­lany was hint­ing all these through his ar­ti­cle which has co­in­cided with the reshuf­fle in Nepal me­dia house which shall be en­trusted with the job of ed­u­cat­ing Nepali lead­ers and its pop­u­la­tion that China is a bad stuff and et al. Should this mean that a regime change is in the mak­ing in Nepal? Let's ask Shyam Saran and his col­leagues. The Nepali gov­ern­ment un­der Com­mu­nist KP Oli, in the mean­time, has al­ready be­come a laugh­ing stock (to which he is not) and the Oli de­trac­tors were ex­tract­ing sadis­tic plea­sure for their com­fort. Oli too is at fault. Nepal is now a com­mu­nist state with Chi­nese char­ac­ter­is­tics. The man­ner PM Oli and his gov­ern­ment has taken up the case of Dr. Govind KC is what is be­ing cashed in upon by his known de­trac­tors. Dr. KC's is­sue by now has be­come global with the vis­i­ble pen­e­tra­tion of some alien forces. Some an­tiChina el­e­ments pre­sum­ably have en­tered into the scene and the tar­get is PM Oli. Dr. KC's in­ner mo­tives may not be ques­tioned, how­ever, his ar­ro­gance is some­what mys­te­ri­ous. For­mer Chief Jus­tice too has jumped into the case of Dr. KC which has em­bold­ened Dr. KC and his sup­port­ers. PM Oli and his min­is­ters are cre­at­ing ugly po­lit­i­cal scenes in Kath­mandu that are of the Chi­nese char­ac­ter­is­tics. Such acts may invite trou­bles for PM Oli. En­e­mies have cen­tered their guns and the tar­get is PM Oli. Alien forces too have made Oli their tar­get. For the road: Malaysia sees ChinaPakistan Eco­nomic Cor­ri­dor as a big op­por­tu­nity for South Asia re­gion, es­pe­cially for Pak­istan and can part­ner with Pak­istan sec­tors, if in­vited, an en­voy said this Mon­day. “… Malaysia wants to in­crease bi­lat­eral trade with Pak­istan, which was cur­rently stand­ing at around $1.34 bil­lion and was in favour of Malaysia,” Khairul Nazran Abd Rah­man, Con­sul Gen­eral of Malaysia in Karachi, said speak­ing to re­porters at the con­clu­sive ses­sion of 20th Study Malaysia Expo. Rah­man said his coun­try also wanted to pro­mote tourism in Pak­istan. “Last year 39,000 Pak­istani vis­ited to Malaysia,” he said. The en­voy said, be­ing a broth­erly coun­try, Malaysia in­tended to build strong re­la­tion­ship with Pak­istan. Rah­man, who has taken the charge just two weeks back, said he felt very com­fort­able and happy with Karachi­ites whom he de­scribed as very friendly and hospi­tal. China help­ing Pak­istan in en­ergy sec­tor: Apart from de­vel­op­ing other means of elec­tric­ity gen­er­a­tion in Pak­istan, China is al­ready help­ing Pak­istan in nu­clear en­ergy pro­duc­tion by sup­ply­ing nu­clear power re­ac­tors, un­der IAEA safe­guards based on agree­ments signed in the field of nu­clear co­op­er­a­tion. Apart from in­stalling Chashma 1 and Chashma 2 power plants, which are al­ready pro­duc­ing elec­tric­ity in Pak­istan, in 2017 China has signed another deal with Pak­istan to also in­stall Chashma 3 and Chashma 4 power plants. Out of these each power plant, af­ter com­ple­tion, will pro­duce 1000 megawatts of elec­tric­ity. As part of the CPEC project, China is also build­ing two HUOLONG ONE nu­clear re­ac­tors in Karachi that will be­come ready to use by 2021, say var­i­ous me­dia agen­cies. So writes Venita Christo­pher for mod­ern diplo­macy dated 16 July 2018 that af­ter sign­ing of the CPEC agree­ment, China is very keen to help Pak­istan in the en­ergy pro­duc­tion, as en­ergy is re­quired not only for the con­struc­tion of CPEC projects but also for its sub­se­quent op­er­a­tion. This is be­cause China is also go­ing to get huge trade ben­e­fits by trad­ing with the outer world us­ing the CPEC. In other words, apart from help­ing its friend Pak­istan in en­ergy pro­duc­tion, this co­op­er­a­tion also serves China's eco­nomic in­ter­ests in a ma­jor way. In this con­text, the CPEC is a win-win project that serves Pak­istan and China's in­ter­est in a sim­i­lar way. Be­fore we con­clude, here is a flash for In­dia. China is do­nat­ing some big buses for Kath­mandu val­ley to be­gin with. To re­call, while re­ceiv­ing such buses, baby Bhutan braved the In­dian eco­nomic block­ade. Wish that China-Nepal Eco­nomic Cor­ri­dor too takes a for­mal shape soon much to the dis­com­fort of New Delhi. Yet mal­ice to none. That's all.

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