Again, In­di­ans are be­com­ing ac­tive

People's Review - - FRONT PAGE - By Our Re­porter

Although, it was highly be­lieved that as the po­lit­i­cal par­ties in In­dia have be­come busy for the gen­eral elec­tions in 2019, the In­dian es­tab­lish­ment will try to de­velop good re­la­tions with its small neigh­bour­ing coun­tries by per­form­ing non­in­ter­fer­ence pol­icy, par­tic­u­larly in Nepal's case un­til the elec­tions are over. But, ac­cord­ing to some sources, In­di­ans have be­come ac­tive to top­ple-down Prime Min­is­ter KP Sharma Oli from the govern­ment and also from the party. Dif­fer­ent sources have claimed that the Nepal Army's non-par­tic­i­pa­tion on the BIMSTEC mil­i­tary ex­er­cise held in Pune, In­dia, has se­ri­ously hurt In­dian Prime Min­is­ter Naren­dra Maodi. The can­cel­la­tion of Nepal's par­tic­i­pa­tion at the last hours has se­ri­ously hu­mil­i­ated In­dian PM Modi, said a highly placed source. As a re­sult of Nepal's non-par­tic­i­pa­tion in the joint mil­i­tary ex­er­cise, Nepal wit­nessed the an­nounce­ment of a free Mad­hesh by CK Raut along with de­vi­ous role of RJP, which is be­lieved to be an In­dian brain­child. Ear­lier, the In­dian es­tab­lish­ment had adopted the pol­icy of pleas­ing KP Sharma Oli by ac­cept­ing all the agen­das put for­warded by him. Of late, the In­di­ans have reached to the con­clu­sion that Oli is not a trust­wor­thy leader and he can never be In­dia's con­fi­dante. As a re­sult, the In­dian es­tab­lish­ment per­formed red-car­pet wel­come to CPN co-chair­man Push­paka­mal Da­hal Prachanda in Delhi. Da­hal was highly in­spired from the hos­pi­tal­ity shown to him and his spouse by the In­dian es­tab­lish­ment. It is sur­pris­ing to note that Da­hal had a three hour long meet­ing with In­dian na­tional se­cu­rity coun­cil ad­vi­sor Ajit Dhovel and also one hour long meet­ing with In­dian PM Modi. Da­hal was treated as the prime min­is­ter in wait­ing. Af­ter Da­hal, there are spec­u­la­tions that In­di­ans have reached out to Mad­hav Ku­mar Nepal to unite dis­sat­is­fied lead­ers in the Com­mu­nist Party of Nepal (CPN). Nepal firstly crit­i­cized on non-per­for­mance of the govern­ment at a pub­lic meet­ing. Then af­ter, Nepal ad­dressed the par­lia­ment crit­i­ciz­ing the govern­ment. Im­me­di­ately af­ter that, Nepal hosted a tea re­cep­tion for the stand­ing com­mit­tee mem­bers of the party. At the tea re­cep­tion, Nepal pre­sented a writ­ten state­ment against the govern­ment. The next day, he or­gan­ised a meet­ing of the cen­tral com­mit­tee mem­bers of the party. Now, Nepal is de­vel­op­ing a front com­prised of the lead­ers who are dis­sat­is­fied with Oli. The Front is plan­ning to or­ga­nize a na­tion­wide aware­ness pro­gramme against Oli. Mean­while, Prachanda is seen neu­tral in this ini­tia­tive. Sources say that the In­dian ef­forts will be to bring Nepal and Prachanda close and de­velop an en­vi­ron­ment for shar­ing

the govern­ment and the party be­tween Prachanda and Nepal. On the other hand, Nepal is plan­ning to bag a ma­jor­ity in the ex­ist­ing cen­tral com­mit­tee of the party and re­call­ing Oli from the govern­ment and also from the party's cochair­man­ship.

Pos­si­ble sce­nar­ios:

Sources close to Delhi have even anal­ysed on a pos­si­ble po­lit­i­cal de­vel­op­ment that the de­mand for in­de­pen­dent mad­hesh will be fur­ther in­ten­si­fied; the de­mand for amend­ment of the con­sti­tu­tion will take mo­men­tum from No 2 prov­ince; ag­i­ta­tion will be in­ten­si­fied in No 2 prov­ince. Ac­cord­ingly, within his own party, there will emerge a strong op­po­si­tion against Oli. The hid­den de­sign of the In­di­ans is to stop sign­ing the tran­sit and trans­porta­tion agree­ment be­tween Nepal and China and also to stop the Chi­nese on the Bud­hi­gan­daki hy­dropower project. The In­di­ans be­lieve that if Oli will re­main in power, In­dia can­not stop from sign­ing on the tran­sit and trans­porta­tion agree­ment and also the Chi­nese in­volve­ment in Bud­hi­gan­daki project.

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