Dra­matic sea change fore­cast

Auckland City Harbour News - - FRONT PAGE -

Imag­ine fu­ture gen­er­a­tions spend­ing beach­front hol­i­days in the fam­ily bach?

Or your great-grand­chil­dren re­lax­ing with their own kids in the same sandy spot you’ve en­joyed over count­less lazy sum­mers? Think again. The shore­line around Auck­land will change dra­mat­i­cally over the next few cen­turies as sea lev­els rise.

The coun­try is ham­mered by stronger and more fre­quent storms in a warm­ing world.

And that means low-ly­ing ar­eas, in­clud­ing down­town Auck­land, could be se­ri­ously af­fected, the Auck­land Coun­cil says.

Cli­mate change ex­perts pre­dict a 1m sea level rise by the end of the cen­tury.

But sci­en­tists have this month warned the ac­tual fig­ure could be as high as 4m.

Ex­perts gath­er­ing in Auck­land for an Antarc­tic re­search con­fer­ence last week based the re­vised es­ti­mate on un­cer­tainty around the sta­bil­ity of Antarc­tic and Green­land ice sheets.

Dras­ti­cally re­duc­ing green­house gas emis­sions will pro­tect some – but not all, they say.

And that could well mean a very dif­fer­ent Auck­land to what we have right now.

Wet feet: The blue line shows the sea level ris­ing by 2m – com­ing to a beach near you.

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