Time for action, not talking
might be adverse to the well-being of humanity.’’
This is the same WMO that last month noted atmospheric carbon dioxide levels had surged to 403.3 ppm last year.
At the current rate of increase, a CO2 concentration level of 405 ppm will be exceeded this year.
It is now 95 per cent likely that average global temperatures will pass the 2°C threshold set by countries only two years ago in the COP21 Paris Agreement.
Professor David Frame, Director of the New Zealand Climate Change Research Institute thinks that New Zealand’s climate target is ‘‘actually fine’’.
This despite the Climate Action Tracker seeing New Zealand’s standing as being ‘‘insufficient’’ because it is not consistent with the Paris Agreement and, if adopted by all, would lead to warming of up to 3°C.
That view is echoed in a recent paper in the journal Nature in which the world’s chances of keeping global warming below the 2°C danger threshold is now only about one in 20 (5 per cent).
So will COP23 in Bonn make a meaningful difference to the world’s probability of meeting these targets?
Unlikely, and as Dr Jan Wright has said: ‘‘There has been a lot of debate around what our targets should be. But I’m much more interested in how we are actually going to achieve them.’’
Dr Wright’s October ‘‘Stepping Stones to Paris and beyond’’ report gives some very clear action steps that are also reflected in the climate change policies of the Green Party.
Last Saturday, the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii, measured CO2 levels at 404.5 ppm.
Time is running out. It’s long past time to actually take action.
* John Allen is the director of Rural Connect, www.ruralconnect.org.nz www.smallWind.co.nz www.smallblock.org.nz
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