Otago Daily Times

Warning: it’s only going to get hotter

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WASHINGTON: While 2018 was the fourthwarm­est year on record, British meteorolog­ists are predicting the next five years will be much hotter, maybe even recordbrea­king.

Two US agencies, the United Kingdom Met Office and the World Meteorolog­ical Organisati­on, analysed global temperatur­es in slightly different ways, but each came to the same conclusion yesterday: 2018 was the fourthwarm­est year on record behind 2016, 2015 and 2017. The US Government’s National Oceanic and Atmospheri­c Administra­tion said 2018’s average temperatur­e was 14.69degC, which is 0.79degC warmer than the 20th century average. Much of Europe had its warmest years on record. Records go back to 1880.

Using computer simulation­s, the British weather office forecast that the next five years will average somewhere between 14.73degC to 15.27degC. That would be warmer than the past four years.

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