Monsoon likely to start in third week
ISLAMABAD —Monsoon would likely to start in third week of June with 10-20 percent above normal rainfall forecast over the country, with a spell of averaged three months till September.
An official of Met office told APP that the El Ni¤o phenomenon has weakened and La Ni¤a is favoured to develop during the current summer season.
Prevailing oceanic and atmospheric conditions are giving indications of good summer monsoon rainfall in the country. Based on statistical and dynamical downscaling of global circulation models, outlook for the season is prepared at 80 percent confidence level for planning purposes. He said more than average rainfall is expected over Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), Sindh, Azad Jammu and Kashmir and Northeast Balochistan.
Some extreme rainfall events are likely to occur in the catchments areas of major rivers and other parts of the country, which may cause floods.
There is a high probability of heavy downpour, which may generate Flash Flooding along Suleman Range, he informed. He informed that some heavy downpour events may produce urban flooding in big cities, he informed adding, some strong incursions of monsoon currents, coupled with high temperature, may trigger Glacial Lake Outburst Floods (GLOF), Landslides and Flash Floods in Upper KP and Gilgit Baltistan (GB). Meanwhile, the Karachi Met Office has forecast partly cloudy weather for Karachi during the next 24 hours. A Met Office official said that maximum temperature is expected to remain between 33 and 35 degree centigrade with 60 to 70 per cent humidity in the metropolis during the period.
He said that hot or very hot and dry weather is likely to prevail over most parts of the province.
Partly cloudy with chances of drizzle along the coast is also expected. Dust raising or strong gusty winds are likely to occur at scattered places in Sindh over the next 24 hours.