Rea­son to Worry

Southasia - - Briefing -

Are­port re­cently re­leased by the In­ter­na­tional Cri­sis Group (ICG) ti­tled, “Afghanistan: The Long, Hard Road to the 2014 Tran­si­tion” puts forth a bleak prospect for the war-torn coun- try. Bla­tantly crit­i­ciz­ing the now 11 year war in Afghanistan, the re­port comes at a time when NATO is al­ready strug­gling to re­duce Green-on-Blue at­tacks and strate­gize a re­spon­si­ble and sta­ble with­drawal in 2014.

Detri­men­tal to the in­ter­ests and re­solve of the in­ter­na­tional community, the re­port states that the coun­try is likely to fall into a trap of chaos and un­cer­tainty, should it en­ter an­other round of fraud­u­lent elec­tions. The Afghan gov­ern­ment is al­ready strug­gling to take con­trol of the coun­try af­ter 130,000 troops with­draw in the next two years and re­sults such as this, dash any hope, no mat­ter how lit­tle. The re­port is also in­creas­ingly crit- ical of Pres­i­dent Karzai stat­ing that the Pres­i­dent is solely in­ter­ested in re­tain­ing his power through any means nec­es­sary and is un­in­ter­ested in es­tab­lish­ing the cred­i­bil­ity of the sys­tem. With elec­tions around the cor­ner, Karzai has taken min­i­mal steps to en­sure a free and fair elec­tion; one that would be im­per­a­tive for a sta­ble and pros­per­ous Afghanistan. Ac­cord­ing to the con­sti­tu­tion, Karzai will not be al­lowed to run for an­other term in the up-com­ing elec­tions but ob­servers sus­pect that he will try his ut­most to elect a pup­pet ally, who will en­sure Karzai’s in­her­ent in­volve­ment in the run­ning of the state. “The dan­ger is Pres­i­dent Karzai’s top pri­or­ity is main­tain­ing con­trol, ei­ther di­rectly or via a trusted proxy,” the re­port states.

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