Can't win in Afghanistan, then…
Claims by US generals that "progress" is being made in the war are false.
Afghan President Hamid Karzai put it bluntly last year, saying the US-led war was "ineffective apart from causing civilian casualties." The new NIE may also restate a 2007 report that found Iran had no nuclear weapons programme.
Frustrated American generals, facing a failing war and ruined careers, are blaming Pakistan for the war they cannot win.
There is no concern in Washington for Pakistan's national interests or explosive problems in its tribal areas. Washington wants Pakistan to follow orders, pure and simple. That's why the US is paying Islamabad $2 billion per annum. Sepoys of the Raj are supposed to follow orders.
Last week came news that US air, land, and mercenary forces would penetrate ever deeper into Pakistan. WikiLeaks show that Pakistan's feeble government is quietly backing deeper US military involvement and targeted killings of Pakistanis.
The Pentagon is gripped by the misconception that " safe havens" in Pakistan are fueling resistance to western occupation. During the Vietnam War, the Pentagon was similarly convinced that eradicating communist safe havens in Cambodia and Laos were the key to victory. By now, 50 per cent of Americans oppose the Afghan War. President Barack Obama is under growing pressure from his Democratic Party to wind down the war. Republicans and right-wingers, by contrast, want it continued - and further expanded into Pakistan.
Most Americans know less than nothing about Afghanistan or South Asia and have absolutely no comprehension of its complexities, size, or politics. The few that do, like experts in the State Department and CIA, are not listened to.
The CIA, whose role is to supply the president with unbiased information, has become deeply politicised and biased. Thank President Ronald Reagan for this. The yes-men he installed at CIA told him and subsequent presidents what they wanted to hear. This process culminated during the Bush administration when then CIA Director George Tenet validated all the lies about Iraq to please the president and vice president. Today, CIA has become a participant in the Afghan War, with its own little army of mercenaries and renegades, and an air force of Predator and Reaper drones.
As a result, CIA's reporting on the war has become seriously tainted by institutional bias and career concerns.
Wars are wonderful for career advancement. But you can't fight a war and remain objective. As a result, Obama is getting a lot of bad information from people with axes to grind. President Obama declared last week that the US would continue fighting Al Qaeda in Afghanistan. He is not telling Americans the truth. CIA director Leon Panetta recently said there were no more than 50 Al Qaeda members in Afghanistan.