The Pak Banker

Lebanon central bank pledges stability amid political paralysis

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Lebanon's central bank chief said he will ensure local banks comply with a US law targeting Hezbollah's finances, weeks after a bomb attack at a major Lebanese lender that had begun closing accounts linked to the militant group. Riad Salameh said the US law must be enforced to keep Lebanon's banks within the global financial system and stabilise the hugely indebted economy as neighbouri­ng Syria's civil war hits tourism and growth. "Of course this (law) has created a lot of tension in the country, and the tension was not good for Lebanon, but overall we have preserved the objectives that we had in mind," he said.

Passed in December, the law threatens to bar from the US financial market any bank that knowingly engages with Hezbollah, designated a terrorist organisati­on by the United States. It has led to a standoff between the central bank and Hezbollah, which views it as a breach of sovereignt­y.

Salameh and the US Treasury have repeatedly said the Hezbollah Financing Prevention Act is not designed to hurt Lebanon's economy or to unjustly prevent members of Lebanon's Shi'ite community from accessing banking services.

Hezbollah, whose fighters played a major role in forcing Israel to withdraw from southern Lebanon in 2000, enjoys strong support among Lebanese Shi'ites. Its members include government ministers, MPs, and local councillor­s.

Salameh would not comment on how many accounts had been closed so far, or how many were under investigat­ion. "The process is being respected by the banks and a Special Investigat­ions Commission is looking individual­ly at every request to close accounts that they deem are in contradict­ion with the law," Salameh said. With government debt of 136.7 percent of GDP in 2015, the third-highest among countries rated by Fitch, confidence in Lebanon's central bank - - seen as one of the only effective institutio­ns in the weak state -- is vitally important. "The banking sector in Lebanon is the cornerston­e of stability in the country," said Salameh, who took office in 1993, making him currently the world's second longest-serving central bank head after Uzbekistan. "Lebanon is funded by its banking sector only."

Battered by regional instabilit­y and a huge refugee burden Lebanon's traditiona­l economic resilience is being put under ever increasing strain. Salameh forecasts growth of 1.5 to 2 percent for 2016, in line with a World Bank projection of 1.8 percent but far below the 8-9 percent growth rates seen in the years before 2011.

Political paralysis that has kept the post of president vacant for over two years is also testing confidence in the country and curbing foreign direct investment (FDI).

FDI, a key source of foreign exchange, dropped to about 5 percent of GDP in 2015, compared to 12.5 percent of GDP in 2009, according to central bank and World Bank data. "The Syrian presence ... in terms of displaced population has created costs for Lebanon which is reflected in the economy," Salameh said.

"It has also created less consumptio­n and investment ... because many Gulf citizens don't come anymore to shop in Beirut or to buy real estate in Lebanon due to the war in Syria." Fitch cut Lebanon's credit rating to Bfrom B last week, citing political risks and the deepening toll Syria's civil war is having on Lebanon's economy and politics. It was last rated B- in 2006, during the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah.

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