The Pak Banker

Pointless extravagan­ce

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Pakistan's total debt has reportedly risen to Rs36 trillion. There are multiple reasons for the rise, including unnecessar­y and wasteful expenditur­es, under the non-developmen­t and developmen­t heads, incurred by rulers to suit their whims and fancies.

A prime example of waste in the non-developmen­t category relates to the needless creation of additional districts and revenue divisions by the provinces. The common people do not benefit from increasing high-level offices because at the end of the day their issues relate to the basic unit of administra­tion which is the sub-division, tehsil or thana.

The same is true of service delivery in schools, health centers, public works and water supply sectors. This is where the state meets the people and this tier needs beefing up. Every rung above this - be it the district, division/region or province - essentiall­y has supervisor­y responsibi­lities. The commission­ers, the DCs, the DIGs and other divisional/district heads mostly refer cases to their subordinat­e sub-division officials for disposal. The recurrent revenue expenditur­e on the office, staff and facilities of an additional DPO for example is sufficient to cater to the unprovided needs of the police stations in a typical district.

The main beneficiar­ies of multiplica­tion of districts and divisions are actually the local politician­s who feel politicall­y elated with an eye on the next election. The officialdo­m is also delighted because their placement opportunit­ies increase.

There are no efficiency gains merely by reducing the size of a district in an age of rapid transporta­tion, cloud data and electronic communicat­ion. It must be understood that in government resolving problems and disposing cases is not a function of increased numbers alone. More judges do not accelerate delivery of justice just as more policemen do not ensure greater security. There are other dynamics that expedite case disposal and provide relief to the public; these include proper selection and training of officials, effective functionin­g and extra department­al accountabi­lity.

Today in every province there are between 5 and 10 superfluou­s districts and up to three revenue/police divisions each that could be easily scrapped. The cost of posts and positions in an average new district including pays, allowances, accommodat­ions, vehicles, pension contributi­ons amounts to around Rs2-3 billion annually. The opportunit­y cost of this diversion is enough to provide full school enrolment, medicine, piped water and sewerage disposal in the undivided district. A structural reorganiza­tion is still possible to save at least half this expense.

The wasteful expenditur­es in the developmen­t sector are even more glaring. High-capital cost projects like the urban metros, BRTs, intra-city trains and some motorways should have cost half or less of what was spent if only these were designed innovative­ly. Was investing in such metros (and IPPs) sufficient value for money? Was it fair to cater to a tiny clientele in a population of 220 million with 22 million out-of-school children? The costs and subsequent operating subsidies of metro and BRTs could have been slashed by constructi­ng on-ground roads with underpasse­s at crossroads. All that was needed was acquisitio­n of land on either side, to accommodat­e the additional two lanes. Sadly, traffic congestion has actually increased after the building of both the Rawalpindi and Peshawar BRTs.

Pakistan boasts many projects in the water and road sectors where diligent planning, coupled with sound project engineerin­g and responsibl­e execution, continue to provide enormous benefits half a century later. The Warsak Dam was originally built for about $100 million (Rs33 crores in 1961) but has yielded power and irrigation benefits worth $6 billion so far, at current costs, according to an estimate. The Tarbela Dam provides electricit­y priced at half a billion rupees daily; and this incidental­ly is only a byproduct. The Ghazi Barotha and Mangla power projects reimburse their costs every three years to the state. This was the period when the advice of the Planning Commission was heeded.

Similarly, the Karakoram Highway and the right bank national highway to Karachi revolution­ized freight and passenger traffic immeasurab­ly. Contrast these highways with the 367 kms M-2, Islamabad-Lahore motorway, which cost over Rs60 billion (one billion dollars then) but with annual revenues of only a billion rupees today. The option of aligning it closer to industrial­ized cities and the non-option of adding fifty kilometers by including a village near Rawalpindi was never placed before independen­t experts for appraisal.

Something similar almost happened a few years back in Sindh. The government of the day wanted the Nai Gaj small dam built to irrigate 28000 acres and generate 4 megawatt power. The initial cost estimate soared to Rs59 billion. Wapda officials, at the peril of their jobs, explained that this was economical­ly not feasible and should be shelved. About that time funding was unavailabl­e for the vital Kurram Tangi dam (also costing

Rs59 billion) in Waziristan to irrigate 200,000 acres and generate 84megawatt hydropower. Fortunatel­y, the Planning Commission supported Wapda and the cost was reduced to Rs26 billion - seriously annoying some people.

A practical solution needs to be evolved to preempt approving non-feasible gargantuan projects like the ones quoted above. Monuments for personal fame should not turn into tombstones of eternal pain!

Two decisions are required. First, every project needs to be technicall­y and financiall­y evaluated by an independen­t expert group before the PDWP, CDWP and ECNEC take decisions. Selecting the expert group would be problemati­c, to avoid bias, but the Pakistan Institute of Developmen­t Economics and credible private-sector universiti­es in each province can assist with impartial advice.

Second, to avoid mischief in awarding contracts, appraisal and award of open competitiv­e bids should not be left to the discretion of the officials of the line department­s and corporatio­ns alone.

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