Gold climbs as dollar weakens ahead of US inflation data release
NEW YORK/LONDON — Gold prices rose on Tuesday as the US dollar slipped and markets anticipated the release of impending US inflation data that may offer some clues on the pace of future US interest rate increases.
The dollar dropped against a basket of major world currencies, reversing some of last week’s gains, when it enjoyed its best performance since 2016.
A retreat in the dollar, in which bullion is priced, has helped gold pull back nearly 2% from last week’s one- month low of $1,306.81 an ounce.
Spot gold was up 0.40% at $1,327.52 per ounce by 1:34 p.m. EST (1834 GMT), earlier hitting a one- week high of $ 1,330.89 while US gold futures for April delivery settled up $4, or 0.30%, at $1,330.40.
While bullion is sometimes seen as a safe haven asset against risk, it benefited little last week from the slide in equities as investors moving out of stocks broadly sought refuge in the dollar.
“The weaker US dollar index really provides some underlying support for gold today,” said Phillip Streible, senior commodities strategist at RJO Futures. “Some of the investors are a little more confident with the chart action of gold since it held the 50-day moving average.”
US bond yields and world equity markets dipped ahead of a widely anticipated US inflation report later this week that may provide some indication of the pace of future interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. “GDP and CPI should be very indicative to whether the Fed will be able to raise the (interest) rates or not,” said Walter Pehowich, executive vice-president of investment services at Dillon Gage Metals.
Inflation is sometimes regarded as gold-positive, because bullion is seen as a safe haven when price pressures are rising, but expectations that the US Federal Reserve will lift interest rates to fight inflation make the nonyielding metal less attractive.
Meanwhile, silver was up 0.20% at $16.57 an ounce, after touching a one-week high of $16.69, while platinum was up 0.30% at $973.
Palladium was up 0.20% at $ 986.40 per ounce. The autocatalyst metal has slid nearly 14% since hitting a record $ 1,138 in mid-January but remains at elevated levels on expectations that the market will remain in deficit for a while yet.