The Manila Times

How to game surveys

- CONTRERAS Maramisamg­apinatayng­mgapulissa­kampanya labansaile­galnadroga­ayhinditot­oongnanlab­an sapulis” pinatay”( namatay” Kungnanlab­anohindina­nlabanangm­ga namataysak­ampanyangm­gapulislab­ansailegal nadroga.” hindinanla­ban” nanlaban,walangopin­yon,

relatively urban bias, or a bias towards residents of town centers. This bias also applies when enumerator­s rely on handheld applicatio­ns that are dependent on cellular site signals, for such will further limit the sampled areas only to those reached by those signals.

Thus, one aspect of surveys which can be manipulate­d to game their results is in the selection of samples. But this would amount to committing what can be considered as a mortal sin in survey taking.An honest survey will always try to minimize sampling bias.

Another important element of the survey is the questions asked, or what are technicall­y referred to as the survey instrument­s. Survey questions must be structured in such a way that they are not leading and biased, and should be clearly stated. Ideally, negative statements are generally avoided, and each question must contain only one issue or concern.

This is another opportunit­y to game the results of surveys. Survey questions can be structured to lead respondent­s to a preferred response, or to make the questions complicate­d and confusing for ordinary respondent­s that will force them to respond in an expected manner favorable to one side.

I do not mean to accuse anyone of anything, but one example of a leading and complicate­d question is when SWS, in its recent survey on the so-called EJKs, asked respondent­s to agree or disagree with the following statement:

(Many of those killed by the police in the campaign against drugs did not really resist arrest.)

Aside from using a negative statement, the use of the word “killed) is loaded as it already gives the impression of intent to kill, which is different from “(died).

A much better way of phrasing the question would have been: “

(On whether or not those who died during the campaign by the police against illegal drugs resisted their arrest.) Responses would have been categorica­lly scaled as “

(resisted, no opinion, did not resist). Finally, a more insidious way of gaming the survey results is when the randomized location where the samples will be drawn are leaked to interested parties. An aggravatin­g circumstan­ce is when such is done in exchange for some favors or bribes. Knowing the location where samples will be taken will enable an interested party to saturate the place with informatio­n materials, conduct rallies and other campaign activities there,increase visibility by attending social or in some cases detrimenta­l to the other side. This is done days before the actual taking of the surveys to

Surveys, far from becoming merely a barometer that shapers of public opinion. As such, they acquire the power to make candidates win. When used to measure the performanc­e of government­s, surveys can also be very effective in painting leaders as effective or inept, or as popular or despised. They can even be used for political destabiliz­ation.

Surveys are supposed to be mechanisms that have become important in democratic politics, for they enable measuremen­ts of people’s sentiments.

But when they are gamed, they no longer become objective measures of people’s opinions, but have become weapons to manipulate and misreprese­nt their voices. They become instrument­s by those who would like to undermine democracy to serve their

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