hat is the best way to achieve legitimate political goals that correspond to clear national interests, a domestic consensus and international legitimacy? Several different events in recent days across the Middle East and north Africa provide us with a fascinating menu of options to choose from.
They suggest different levels of efficacy and legitimacy that any country or group of militants must assess to choose their preferred means of action in the struggles they wage.
The very different situations that occurred in the past few days include the following:
1In Libya and Yemen, American missile strikes from drone aircraft reportedly killed two important Salafist-takfiri militants – Mokhtar Belmokhtar, an Algerian who had waged war and terror across several states in north Africa; and Nasir al-Wuhayshi, a Yemeni whose time in the company of Osama bin Laden had led him to the position of the head of al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula.
The impact of their deaths on the militant groups they headed will not be known for some time. But judging from the death or capture of dozens of other such prominent leaders in the past two decades, the answer is “probably not very much”.
This is because Salafist-takfiri terror groups have significantly adjusted to the military assaults against them, especially since the 2011 US-led Global War on Terrorism, in which Americans and their allies enjoy great technological advantages over the militants.
This raises the question of whether such extrajudicial drone-and-missile killings are appropriate, legal or effective in the long run. Or is it enough that they induce significant feel-good vibes among the officers, political leaders and dazzled civilians of the killing hand – in this case, the US?
2In South Africa, the visiting president of Sudan, Omar Hassan al-Bashir, briefly faced a situation in which he might not have been able to return home because a South African court had issued an order to prevent his departure and another had ordered him arrested and turned over to the International Criminal Court (ICC) in the Hague.
The court has charged him with war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide related to the conflict in Darfur. The South African government, for reasons not yet clear, allowed his plane to depart, and he escaped – this time – being tried in the ICC.
Many in the world see the ICC as the last resort to hold to account criminal rulers who escape justice in their own countries. Can that crumbled hope be revived in other situations in the future?
3In Israel, the government barred a UNappointed official who monitors Palestinian rights from entering the country. Israel also did this last year because it said its side of the story on Palestinian rights and living conditions was not adequately heard.
This is nonsense because every UN inquiry scrupulously listens to testimonies from all concerned parties in a conflict.
Makarim Wibisono, the Indonesian UN special rapporteur on human rights in the Palestinian territories (that are occupied, controlled or under siege by Israel) was preparing a report for the UN General Assembly in New York.
In the meantime, Israeli colonisation, annexation, mass imprisonment, and shooting and killing of Palestinian civilians mostly continue unabated and are widely condemned around the world.
Yet they remain largely unchecked by legal, political or military means, raising serious questions about how the world should deal with such a situation.
4In northern Syria, along the Turkish border, Kurdish and Free Syrian Army troops drove the Islamic State (IS) out of the town of Tal Abyad that it had controlled for about a year.
This cut an important supply route by land from southern Turkey to the IS heartland around its capital in Raqqa.
This important battle showed that determined local fighters defending their own lands could defeat IS forces, as they have done in some other such battles in the past year.
It raises the question of why Arab, Iranian, Turkish and Kurdish leaders have not coordinated better to make a synchronised ground and air assault against the IS in Iraq and Syria, given that the IS, despite its vulgar brutality, is not the mighty force some people think it is.
I am sure these four very different approaches on how to resolve situations of violence, atrocity and occupation are being carefully studied by law-abiding and criminal actors around the world – individuals, groups and governments alike – who will pursue appropriate policy responses in due course.
If the rule of law exempts powerful states or individuals that commit criminal deeds, we should not expect many people to respond to discussions about peace and justice, especially when these are initiated by those democracies whose policies continue to trample on the rule of law – the core of democratic life – in their own lands and abroad.
Jacob Zuma and Omar alBashir; an Israeli tank;
an oil refinery, a resource the Islamic State uses to fund its terror war