Mkhize’s support base is in KwaZuluNatal – the ANC’s biggest province in terms of membership.
However, his supporters have lost their dominance in the province to two opposing groupings linked to ANC chairperson Senzo Mchunu and provincial secretary Sihle Zikalala, respectively.
Mkhize’s chances would improve if his supporters joined forces with one of the two dominant groups.
His position as treasurer-general in the ANC top six of the ANC provides him with access to critical information about the running of the party.
He remains a dark horse should the lead contenders fall out of favour.