BY THE polls

CityPress - - News -

There are sta­tis­tics, damned sta­tis­tics, and the 2016 US polls (with apolo­gies to Mark Twain). Although most polls have con­sis­tently given Hil­lary Clinton the lead, some in­di­cate that Repub­li­can nom­i­nee Don­ald Trump might stand a chance.

In­ter­nal polls by both cam­paigns dif­fer from pop­u­lar polls be­cause they use dif­fer­ent meth­ods. Even though Trump has claimed his sup­port is much higher than the polls in­di­cate, a Politico/Morn­ing Con­sult study this week found “shy Trumpers” do ex­ist, but not in the kind of num­bers that would make a dif­fer­ence.

Here’s what the elec­tion re­sult will look like, ac­cord­ing to the big polls:

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