Henry Tudor looks a bet
BERNARD FAYD’HERBE can celebrate his 36th birthday a day early by winning the first two races at Kenilworth tomorrow.
Both Henry Tudor and Bid Before Sunset have losses to recover after starting favourite and finding one too good for them earlier in the month. Indeed it’s a little surprising to see Justin Snaith turning them out again so quickly.
“Fitness,” he replies when quizzed about this. “I want them both to win a maiden and then I can rest them. They are fit and I think they will both be hard to beat.”
Henry Tudor has finished second in all his last three starts but he looked genuine enough ten days ago when the form – dividing Victorious Captain and Photocopy – looked solid. The gelding was yesterday installed 2-1 favourite by World Sports Betting which has Southern Sun the danger at 3-1 after his cracking debut in June.
Ridden by an apprentice, he started at 100-1 and beat all except White River in a big field that included (an admittedly unlucky) Cot Campbell. “He surprised me that day,” recalls Dean Kannemeyer who adds that some of his runners may need the outing after their vaccinations.
Bid Before Sunset
Bid Before Sunset was a little disappointing last time considering how promisingly she had run on debut and, although ridden to lead just over 50m from home, she hadn’t shown the pace that many punters expected.
But she is a warm favourite at 12-10 and the early market suggests that Capaill (6-1) is the main threat. However Kannemeyer’s Royal Frost (91) is expected to run well – “She ran a nice race last time and she will continue to improve,” says her trainer.
One word of warning, though. Neither of the Snaith hotpots is well drawn – Henry Tudor is eight out of ten and the filly ten out of 15. The penetrometer readings last Saturday showed that those racing on the inside (ie drawn low) had a 5% advantage over those in the middle and a 6% advantage had any jockey been foolish enough to try to come up the stands side.
Fayd’Herbe has a few other good rides and just possibly the draw may swing it for him in race three. Courtisan is favourite at 33-10 after a better first run that Spam Alert but Richard Fourie’s mount will start from pen 15 whereas Spam Alert (9-2) is drawn two.
Whatever his fortunes here, though, Fourie can win the Betting World Maiden on Counting Stars who looks value at 5-1.
He was only just behind last Saturday’s easy winner Rommel in a big field last month and has a reasonable draw. Orakal is 18-10 favourite and is the obvious danger.
Our old friend Power Grid is drawn ten out of 14 in race seven but last week’s rain will help and he looks worth a few rand each way at 7-1.