TREA­SURY

Finweek English Edition - - Letters -

CYRIL Ramaphosa has on more than one oc­ca­sion sug­gested that he would not be in­ter­ested in get­ting back into pol­i­tics. But, his bi­og­ra­pher and po­lit­i­cal sci­en­tist at the Uni­ver­sity of cape Town An­thony But­ler does not think he can be dis­counted. Since Polok­wane, Ramaphosa has be­come more ac­tive in party ac­tiv­i­ties, even ad­dress­ing ral­lies. But­ler be­lieves that it would be short sighted of Zuma not to ap­point some­one who was re­spected and had cred­i­bil­ity in busi­ness cir­cles, which could in­clude Tokyo Sexwale, Pravin Gord­han or, as those close to Zuma ar­gue, Mathews Phosa. But, if Ramaphosa is in the cab­i­net line up, But­ler says the only likely po­si­tion for him would be fi­nance.

What about Trevor Manuel? Opin­ion is di­vided as to whether he’ll stay or go. The pre­vail­ing view seems to be he won’t re­turn as Fi­nance Min­is­ter. Those who be­lieve he’ll stay, say it will be for con­ti­nu­ity’s sake – pos­si­bly with an un­der­stand­ing he’ll step down be­fore the term is up. But that op­tion is likely to cre­ate more un­cer­tainty than re­plac­ing him at the start of the term.

28 AU­GUST 2008 FIN­WEEK

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Mil­lion dol­lar ques­tion

Trevor Manuel

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