CYRIL Ramaphosa has on more than one occasion suggested that he would not be interested in getting back into politics. But, his biographer and political scientist at the University of cape Town Anthony Butler does not think he can be discounted. Since Polokwane, Ramaphosa has become more active in party activities, even addressing rallies. Butler believes that it would be short sighted of Zuma not to appoint someone who was respected and had credibility in business circles, which could include Tokyo Sexwale, Pravin Gordhan or, as those close to Zuma argue, Mathews Phosa. But, if Ramaphosa is in the cabinet line up, Butler says the only likely position for him would be finance.
What about Trevor Manuel? Opinion is divided as to whether he’ll stay or go. The prevailing view seems to be he won’t return as Finance Minister. Those who believe he’ll stay, say it will be for continuity’s sake – possibly with an understanding he’ll step down before the term is up. But that option is likely to create more uncertainty than replacing him at the start of the term.
28 AUGUST 2008 FINWEEK
Million dollar question